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Three Strategic Uses of Sale-leaseback Capital for CFOs
There are several reasons businesses of all sizes may choose to monetize their owned real estate through a sale-leaseback. A sale-leaseback is an effective financing tool to unlock seemingly illiquid capital that can be reinvested into a company’s core business to fund both internal and external growth. It can be a particularly useful tool when traditional debt financing is difficult to secure or available at less attractive terms. Another key benefit is that the proceeds from a sale-leaseback can be used for essentially anything – from improving a company’s cost of capital to paying off debt. This flexibility enables CFOs to allocate sale-leaseback proceeds to the areas where their business needs it most at any given time. In today’s economic environment, CFOs can strategically leverage sale-leaseback capital to address several of the biggest concerns – and opportunities – that businesses are currently facing, including M&A, inflation and capital raising. Here’s how: Finance M&A In an M&A market that remains highly competitive, sale-leasebacks can be a useful tool to give companies an edge against their peers. Sale-leasebacks are an attractive means to finance M&A by enabling companies to take advantage of the value arbitrage between their real estate valuation and EBITDA multiple. When completing a sale-leaseback concurrently with an acquisition, the proceeds can effectively “buy down” the acquisition multiple and boost returns. In addition, leveraging sale-leaseback capital enables companies to avoid many traditional debt challenges like refinancing risk and balloon payments. By pursuing a sale-leaseback now, companies can also lock in an attractive rental rate for the long-term while cap rates remain low and before interest rates rise significantly. Counteract Inflation Inflation continues to surge at its fastest pace in 40 years. In April, the Consumer Price Index continued its upward trajectory, increasing 8.3% from one year ago. While the Fed has made some efforts to fight inflation, there is still a lot to be done to get prices down to more normal and stable levels. This is bad news for businesses, who are dealing with dwindling cash flows as costs continue to rise for raw materials, manufacturing and overhead. However, savvy CFOs can leverage sale-leaseback capital to help fund initiatives to mitigate the negative impacts of sustained high inflation. Sale-leaseback capital can be invested into automation equipment, new production lines or other areas with return on capital in excess of cap rates to increase production line efficiency and maintain operating margins despite increased pressure on costs. Unlock Illiquid Capital to Fund Internal Business Growth In today’s more volatile environment, having access to capital is critical to not only expanding externally through M&A, but also to investing in existing business lines. By pursuing a sale-leaseback, CFOs can unlock liquidity on a business’s balance sheet and reinvest those proceeds back into the core business, all while maintaining long-term occupancy and operational control of the real estate. Companies can launch new products, acquire additional equipment, fund R&D and grow their market share in existing business lines. This organic growth can in turn help attract top talent, particularly in the current tight labor market.
What to Know When Leveraging Sale-leasebacks to Finance M&A
The global M&A market experienced record activity in 2021, topping $5 trillion for the first time as unprecedented dry powder, a low cost of capital and demand for inorganic growth fueled dealmaking. Savvy corporate acquirers and private equity investors looking to jump in on the action have seized the opportunity to use creative financing options that unlock equity, strengthen balance sheets and free up capital for strategic initiatives and additional transactions. Enter stage right, the sale-leaseback. In 2021, sale-leaseback volume topped $24 billion, up from nearly $13 billion in 2020. For those interested in joining the growing number of investors and acquirers leveraging sale-leaseback financing alternatives to supplement M&A activity, here’s what you need to know. How do you know if a sale-leaseback should be part of an M&A transaction? There are a couple of key considerations in determining whether to pursue a sale-leaseback as part of an M&A strategy. First, identifying whether or not owned real estate is critical to the pro forma business in the long run. A sale-leaseback is a long-term source of financing, so it’s important that the real estate involved is not only critical to the pro forma entity’s operations, but that the company is comfortable with committing to a meaningful lease term. Just as important is understanding the market’s appetite for the specific real estate and rent cash flow in contrast to the entity’s cost of capital. Tenant credit, facility criticality and quality of the real estate are all factors that contribute to how competitive a sale-leaseback strategy might be against more traditional financing strategies in supporting a transaction. How do the current inflation levels and the Fed’s rate hike impact M&A volume and attractiveness of sale-leasebacks? There are certainly some headwinds, with rising rates, the expected tightening of regulation and potential for changes in tax policy all driving a “wait and see” approach for some acquirers. However, activity so far in 2022 is still visible and the recent rate hikes and overall volatility in the debt capital markets make alternatives to traditional debt financing, such as sale-leasebacks, an even more attractive option in funding M&A strategies. What are the advantages of sale-leasebacks compared to more traditional routes of financing? There are quite a few advantages to financing via a sale-leaseback: the avoidance of many traditional debt challenges such as a balloon payment or need to refinance at the end of the term, and in some cases, less stringent financial covenants. In addition, many companies also benefit from the flexibility of extension options and operating lease treatment, all without immediately forgoing control of critical real estate or disrupting day-to-day operations. Depending on the buyer, sellers may also gain a long-term capital partner who can work with them far into the future to ensure their real estate continues to meet their evolving business needs. It’s also important to remember the cost of capital for a real estate investor is often extremely competitive. In some cases, this—coupled with the fact that a real estate investor is better suited for property ownership as it aligns with its core competency—means a real estate investor will buy assets at a higher multiple compared to an M&A target’s valuation, thereby unlocking a value creation opportunity that benefits from the combined operating business and real estate value. In addition, some companies find that by converting illiquid real estate assets into liquid capital at a favorable cost, the pro forma company is able to optimize its cost of capital. Conclusion With optimism that M&A activity will remain strong despite the current market headwinds, I anticipate sale-leaseback activity will continue to soar in 2022, particularly as awareness of this valuable financing strategy among private equity investors and corporate owner-occupiers becomes more prevalent. When working with an experienced real estate investor, sale-leasebacks can be a powerful and reliable tool to finance acquisitions and fuel corporate growth.
The Return to Cannes: Takeaways from MIPIM 2022
Following a pandemic-induced hiatus, MIPIM, Europe’s largest real estate event of the year, finally returned to the idyllic city of Cannes. More than 20,000 attendees eagerly came out to meet in-person and discuss the most prevalent topics and issues impacting the real estate sector. During my experience at the four-day event, the following major themes unsurprisingly dominated most of the conversations: rising interest rates and inflation, the conflict in Ukraine and ESG. Here’s my take on how those may impact our business and the broader European real estate market. Interest Rates and Inflation Similar to the U.S., inflation in Europe is reaching highs not seen in several decades with euro area inflation hitting 5.8% in February, driven primarily by rising energy prices and supply chain challenges. As a result of fast-rising inflation, central banks worldwide will likely pursue an increasingly hawkish strategy, bringing forward interest rate increases. All-equity buyers like W. P. Carey may be better positioned to execute on deals in this environment since they are not reliant on third-party debt financing. From a seller’s perspective, the timing to pursue a sale-leaseback may have never been better – locking in a long-term rental rate now while cap rates remain low, and before interest rates begin to rise significantly. War in Ukraine We are incredibly saddened by the events unfolding in Ukraine and are committed to doing our part to support those in need. As of now, it’s difficult to say how exactly the war will impact the real estate market but it will likely continue to stoke the flame of rising inflation globally due to economic disruptions which could further impact interest rates and borrowing costs. It’s also possible that some companies may take a “wait and see” approach to investing in neighboring countries to Ukraine and Russia until there’s more clarity on when the conflict will end. Focus on ESG ESG remained a prominent topic, particularly as regulatory and disclosure requirements continue to increase, forcing companies to define concrete, measurable goals. With the main theme of MIPIM being “driving urban change,” there was certainly a lot of discussion surrounding how the real estate industry can tackle climate change and net zero emissions as well as ensuring sustainability of new developments. At W. P. Carey, we are intensely focused on ESG. In 2021, we invested in several green buildings, including the acquisition of a 1.1-million-square-foot, BREEAM-certified logistics facility in the U.K., net leased to Jaguar Land Rover. We also issued our first green bond offering last year with $350 million of proceeds earmarked for green projects. From an asset management perspective, we take a proactive approach to communicating with our tenants on sustainability projects that can reduce their environmental impact and reduce operating costs, such as solar panels and building efficiency retrofits. For example, we worked with our tenant Sonae MC in Portugal on the installation of a solar roof which was completed last year. We also worked with our tenant Nippon Express on the installation of a one-million-square-foot solar roof, which is now one of the largest solar rooftops in Europe. While we still have much progress to make, we are focused on reducing the carbon footprint of our portfolio and believe that green buildings are not only beneficial for the environment but can also have a significant business impact for W. P. Carey, including increasing property values, driving higher rents and attracting high-caliber tenants.
Fighting Back Against Inflation with Real Estate
Inflation is at its highest point in 40 years. The consumer price index – a key indicator of inflation – rose 7.5% in the 12 months ending in January, far surpassing initial predictions from economists. For CFOs, this has meant a rapid increase in the cost of raw materials, manufacturing and overhead which significantly cuts into a businesses’ cash flows. In addition, the US is currently in the midst of a labor shortage stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic. This has forced CFOs to increase wages and other compensation in order to secure and retain talent – another big blow to a company’s cash flows. To fight mounting costs, CFOs need to take a look at their company’s assets and find ways to free up capital on their balance sheets. One often overlooked asset is a company’s owned real estate. For companies not in the business of owning real estate, these assets add a significant weight on the balance sheet. However, through a sale-leaseback, companies can sell their real estate to an investor for cash while simultaneously entering into a long-term lease. The benefit of this type of transaction is that companies can realize 100% of the value of an otherwise illiquid asset and can immediately invest that capital back into their core business. In today’s high-inflationary environment, this capital could be used to offset immediate rising wholesale and labor costs in addition to funding long-term growth initiatives. Furthermore, companies can retain full operational control of their assets following a sale-leaseback, meaning there’s no disruption to day-to-day business. Now is also a particularly attractive time for CFOs to consider sale-leasebacks due to a number of macroeconomic factors. First, the U.S. Federal Reserve has signaled that they plan to raise interest rates as early as this month to counteract inflation. However, if a company pursues a sale-leaseback now, they can lock in today’s lower rates on a long-term basis. Second, competition for high-quality real estate – particularly industrial assets – remains at an all-time high due to investors seeking long-term, stable cash flows. As a result, corporate owners can secure a high price for their real estate, in addition to attractive lease structuring, giving them the opportunity to fully maximize the amount of proceeds they receive. Inflation certainly won’t last forever, but even a few months, or years, of rising prices can be devastating for businesses. While there are a number of tools CFOs can leverage to mitigate the impact of inflation, sale-leasebacks should not be overlooked. Unlocking the value of corporate real estate and reinvesting those proceeds back into the business can not only help companies ride out the current wave of rising prices, but also set them up with the capital needed for long-term growth and success.
W. P. Carey's Approach to Sustainability
Net Lease REITs are unique because our tenants typically retain operational control of the property. This structure has enormous benefits for both landlord and tenant. The landlord is not exposed to operating costs or capital expenses and is able to own and manage a large and growing portfolio very efficiently. Meanwhile, the tenant retains operational control, enabling them to adapt the property to their specific operational needs. W. P. Carey prides itself on its proactive approach to asset management. Our goal is to create long-term relationships with our tenants, proactively working with their management teams to optimize their real estate to meet their evolving needs. In recent years, sustainability has grown to be a top priority for W. P. Carey and our tenant base alike. While the net lease structure has many benefits, it presents some challenges when it comes to helping our tenants reduce their carbon footprint. First and foremost, without direct operational control, it can be difficult for net lease landlords to access property-level emissions data in a scalable way. However, with real estate being one of the biggest contributors to global greenhouse gas emissions, net lease REITs must create the systems and processes to facilitate collaboration with our tenants to reduce the carbon footprint of the portfolio. To tackle the challenge, we employ a three-phased approach to quantify and reduce our portfolio’s global carbon footprint: Step 1: Data – Scalable systems to collect and analyze our portfolio’s carbon footprint data The first step – and perhaps the most challenging for net lease REITs in general – is to collect tenants’ energy usage data to accurately analyze and benchmark our portfolio. In 2021, W. P. Carey launched a program to leverage a suite of SaaS platforms to collect utility data in an automated and scalable manner. The data feeds into our proprietary business intelligence platform, enabling us to track energy usage, identify outliers and opportunities, and integrate with third-party benchmarking organizations. It also enables us to equip our tenants with tools to better manage and benchmark their own energy consumption. As of December 31, 2021, we’ve collected data from tenants representing over 30% of annualized base rent (ABR). In 2022, we intend to further expand this program throughout our portfolio. Step 2: Engagement – Systematic tenant outreach and collaboration The next step is to proactively engage with tenants to jumpstart actionable conversations that lead to projects that reduce carbon footprint. At W. P. Carey, each asset manager is responsible for a portfolio of tenants across all property types and regions. Our asset managers develop long-term relationships with tenant management teams, providing a direct and ongoing dialogue about the tenant’s business and how they can operate more effectively in their real estate. These conversations have created direct opportunities to pursue sustainability projects that both lower tenant operating costs and enhance W. P. Carey portfolio value. Step 3: Action – Targeted sustainability projects that lower carbon footprint The final step is to act on the insights and identify property-level sustainability opportunities within the portfolio. Sustainability projects fall within five key areas: renewable energy opportunities, building energy retrofits, existing building green certifications, new construction green certifications and tenant energy audits. In addition to the primary goal of reducing carbon footprint, collaborating with our tenants to invest in sustainability projects has several key benefits. For the tenant, a more efficient building reduces operating cost and helps reduces the tenant’s scope 1 and 2 emissions. For W. P. Carey, sustainability projects provide an enormous addressable opportunity set of accretive investments within our existing portfolio. These projects enable us to extend leases, enhance criticality of properties and improve the overall value of the portfolio. Conclusion Reducing the carbon footprint of a global net lease portfolio is an enormous long-term challenge. However, by developing a scalable, technology-driven approach to collecting data and engaging with tenants, we can systematically identify sustainability opportunities that are beneficial to the planet, attractive to tenants and improve our broader portfolio. At W. P. Carey, we’re committed to scaling up this effort and being an innovative sustainability leader in the net lease industry.
To Have and to Hold
The net lease market is firing on all cylinders with record capital raising, persistent demand for reliable cash flows and the emergence of new players seeking low-maintenance assets offering predictable income and long-term leases. Aggressive market dynamics are driving cap rates to historic lows, making now an opportune time for sellers and private equity owners to unlock a lower cost of capital through a sale-leaseback of corporate real estate vs. traditional financing. However, with new sources of capital entering the market, it’s more difficult for sellers to navigate the expanding buyer pool and choose a capital partner that’s truly “the one.” In addition to more traditional net lease investors like public REITs, private and institutional investors have continued to grow their share of the net lease market. According to CBRE, institutional and equity funds accounted for $6.3 billion in volume in the second quarter of 2021, a 99% increase from the prior year. The steady performance of the sector coupled with attractive market dynamics position these funds well for an easy flip of their investments a few years down the line. However, this does not always leave sellers well positioned to take advantage of the full suite of benefits a sale-leaseback can offer if done so with the right partner. In order to choose the right buyer, sellers should ask themselves these three questions before settling down: 1. Does my company need flexibility over the long term? Unlike a fund, a long-term holder isn’t looking to hit a short-dated return hurdle and flip the asset 4-6 years down the line. Whether it’s a potential merger or subleasing underutilized space, a long-term landlord focused on deploying additional capital to support the evolving needs of its tenants may be a better fit than a short-term holder focused on disposition opportunities. 2. Is my company growing? While many tenants prefer quiet enjoyment of their space, having a landlord aligned with growth can be key. If a tenant wants to expand their existing facility to add space or make sustainability enhancements, a landlord aligned with long-term growth is happy to continue investing in the facility in a way that’s going to support the needs of its tenants and improve the long-term value of the property. 3. Do I understand the buyer's underwriting process? Most long-term investors will spend the time to get to know a business and its unique structure rather than relying solely on credit ratings or focusing on the real estate alone. This is particularly important for sub-investment grade or non-rated companies to ensure they are being valued appropriately during the underwriting process and able to maximize sale-leaseback proceeds. Conclusion Whether you’re a company looking to sell one asset or a portfolio of assets, it’s a big decision. Before jumping into that commitment, it’s important to remember that at the core of any relationship should be a true partnership. This means choosing a partner that will recognize the full value of your real estate from the start and support your evolving needs.
The Institutionalization of Net Lease
The net lease market has become a hunting ground for investors looking for low-maintenance assets and long-term, predictable cash flows. The stability of the asset type during times of uncertainty has attracted attention from new investors – with the net lease share of all commercial real estate investment activity rising 14.7% in 2020. While it has historically not been viewed as one of the major food groups in commercial investments, this perception is changing as more capital continues to flow into the market. What's driving new capital? There are several factors that have contributed to the influx of capital in the net lease space, but the biggest factor is the appeal of long-term stability. With reliable cash flows, triple-net structures and generally longer lease terms, net lease investments are far less volatile than other assets and create predictability in a portfolio. While there was wide discrepancy across the net lease sector during COVID, generally net lease portfolios – particularly industrial and those focused on critical real estate – performed extremely well and delivered high rent collections when compared to other asset types. In addition, recent inflation fears have driven investors toward traditionally inflation-resistant asset classes like real estate, and net lease in particular has been popular in that context. What types of institutions have shown the most interest in the sector? There are several factors that have contributed to the influx of capital in the net lease space, but the biggest factor is the appeal of long-term stability. With reliable cash flows, triple-net structures and generally longer lease terms, net lease investments are far less volatile than other assets and create predictability in a portfolio. While there was wide discrepancy across the net lease sector during COVID, generally net lease portfolios – particularly industrial and those focused on critical real estate – performed extremely well and delivered high rent collections when compared to other asset types. In addition, recent inflation fears have driven investors toward traditionally inflation-resistant asset classes like real estate, and net lease in particular has been popular in that context. What does this mean for corporate sellers? Now remains a great time for corporate sellers to monetize real estate. High investor interest and limited supply is driving cap rates down and prices up, meaning sellers can maximize the value of their assets if they pursue a sale-leaseback now. Supply chain issues have highlighted the importance of industrial properties in particular, resulting in further price appreciation for industrial owners. Since there is an expectation that interest rates will rise next year in response to inflation, corporate owners should take advantage of the sellers’ market and pursue a sale-leaseback sooner rather than later to lock in today’s low rates on a long-term basis. Conclusion Although new entrants entering the net lease space are forcing cap rates down, the overall impact on the market is a net positive. Greater investor interest is also driving down cost of capital accordingly, meaning investors can still accretively do deals at lower cap rates since debt is relatively cheap. In addition, increased visibility of the net lease market lends credence to the asset class as a whole and creates more awareness for net lease and sale-leasebacks among corporate sellers – driving overall deal volume higher. From W. P. Carey’s perspective, 2021 has been a record year for deal volume and we have been able to support many companies in unlocking the value of their real estate and redeploying those proceeds into their core businesses…So bring on the competition!
Why Tenant-Landlord Relationships Matter
Since our founding in 1973, W. P. Carey has been a long-term partner to our tenants. This means that when we invest in a property, we are also committed to advancing the tenant’s business and look to support their evolving real estate and capital needs throughout the duration of their lease and beyond. A Long-term Partner: Building Beyond the Original Transaction W. P. Carey partnered with Sonae MC, a leading Portuguese food retailer, in 2018 when it acquired its mission-critical warehouse facility in the Azambuja logistics park, Portugal’s prime logistics hub outside of Lisbon. Since its founding in 1985, Sonae MC has steadily grown its market share. Today, the company has more than 1,300 stores throughout Portugal and Spain, 35,000 employees and a broad range of products and services. At the time of the acquisition, Sonae MC was experiencing rapid growth, particularly through its city-center convenience stores and e-commerce operations. In order to meet rising demand and continue executing on its strategic plans, the company needed additional food distribution warehouse space. “In recent years, Sonae MC has been expanding its store portfolio, mostly with small, convenience stores; in the last decade, 750 new stores were opened. This growth will continue for the next few years to solidify even more of our dominant market share. This means our company’s logistics operation has to continue growing its warehouse footprint to be able to receive, prepare and ship an ever-growing number of merchandise," explained Rui Braz, Head of Area – Logistics Development at Sonae MC. To support Sonae MC’s growing business, W. P. Carey partnered with the company and agreed to fund a $28 million expansion of the Azambuja facility. Completed in 2020, the 300,000-square-foot expansion was custom built to Sonae MC’s specifications and totaled over 840,000 square feet, making it the largest refrigerated warehouse in Portugal. With the additional space, Sonae MC was able to increase its capacity and speed of supply to Mainland stores in the central and southern regions of Portugal. “The Azambuja expansion was part of a plan to strengthen our logistic capability, which makes it a fundamental piece to the company’s strategy,” said Braz. A Shared Vision: Committing to a Greener Future Our ability to support our tenants’ real estate needs goes beyond just expansions. We can also partner with our tenants on projects to help reduce their carbon footprint and meet their sustainability goals. W. P. Carey and Sonae MC are both committed to creating a greener future, which meant the expansion of the Azambuja warehouse was built with sustainability in mind. In 2021, a solar roof generating an estimated 4,000 MWh/year was successfully installed on the newly expanded facility, earning a LEED Gold certification for the property. This makes the facility Portugal’s first LEED Gold certified warehouse, an exciting milestone for W. P. Carey, Sonae MC and the country as a whole. “Receiving a LEED Gold certification for our new building in Azambuja, being the first in Portugal and, on top of that, the first for a refrigerated warehouse, is an important acknowledgement of our focus on sustainability. The thought that was put into multiple aspects like the isolation of the building, rainwater utilization system, and the investment in the photovoltaic solar plant–that reduces 30% of our electrical power grid needs for the entire facility–clearly portrays our intention in diminishing the operation’s environmental footprint,” Braz added. The new building is also equipped with innovative cooling and insulation systems that are more energy efficient and environmentally friendly. The joint delivery of fresh produce allows 20% fewer deliveries to shops, a reduction of 1.4 million km traveled per year and the equivalent of 1,100 tons of CO2 saved per year. A Win-Win: Long-term Benefits for Both Tenant and Landlord W. P. Carey prides itself on serving as a long-term, flexible partner to its tenants. By building strong relationships we are able to not only understand the business objectives of each tenant, but also their unique corporate values. In the case of Sonae MC, we were thrilled to have the opportunity to support them and their business needs, while also advancing our goal of reducing the carbon footprint of our overall portfolio. “W. P. Carey has had a fundamental role in the development of this project, proving to be the right partner along the entire process of building this warehouse and its sustainability and efficiency features, which we’re all proud of,” Braz concluded.
Sale-leasebacks Are Back!
The sale-leaseback market is booming. Strong fundamentals including low interest rates, outsized demand for high-quality assets, an active M&A market and significant amounts of capital driven by cheap debt and strong currency make now an opportune time for sellers to execute a sale-leaseback and unlock otherwise illiquid capital tied up in their real estate. According to data from SLB Capital Advisors, sale-leaseback activity increased 17% in Q2 from the previous quarter, reaching $3.6 billion–the second highest in terms of deal volume since before the pandemic in Q4 2019. With interest rates unlikely to rise in the short term and property valuations being pushed higher as new investors enter the sale-leaseback market, we expect this high level of activity to continue into 2022. However, within the broader sale-leaseback market, each core property type–industrial, office and retail–faces unique headwinds and tailwinds, presenting new challenges and opportunities across each. Here’s how we think each will fare in 2022. The Industrial Surge The industrial real estate market continues to be one of the strongest sectors fueled by tailwinds related to the growth of e-commerce, including increased inventory requirements and record-low vacancy rates. These strong fundamentals mean that investor demand for industrial sale-leasebacks will only increase, particularly as new entrants enter the market. We are already seeing the effects of this–but as more entrants enter, the imbalance between the product available and demand for assets will continue to widen, driving prices higher and cap rates lower–even in traditionally non-core industrial markets. In addition, a lag in new development due to increased material and labor costs will keep real estate valuations for existing assets high. As a result, we don’t see the industrial market slowing any time soon–creating immense opportunity for sellers to maximize the value of their real estate through a sale-leaseback. Growing Office Optimism While office has certainly been a dark horse in the real estate market due to lockdowns and work-from-home mandates, there’s some optimism on the horizon going into 2022. Several big tech companies such as Google, Facebook and Amazon, have made investments in NYC office space this year, sparking early signs of recovery in the sector. In addition, Sun Belt markets such as Texas and Florida–where many urbanites migrated during the pandemic–are seeing an increase in demand for offices supported predominantly by the small and mid-size businesses located in those regions. For potential sellers, these are all positive signs and suggest that investor demand for certain office assets will rise in 2022, particularly for high-quality properties in strong markets leased to investment-grade tenants. Retail's Road to Recovery Similar to the office market, retail is seeing a recovery from COVID-19 pandemic lows. Retail foot traffic and sales continue to increase, but the rise of e-commerce has certainly left a lasting impact on the industry as a whole, as most retailers are now implementing hybrid store models which include both brick-and-mortar stores and online distribution. In the next few years, many retailers will likely reevaluate their portfolios in terms of number of stores, location and use–and many may downsize as online orders become a greater proportion of their sales. As a result, the overall level of occupied retail space will likely shrink, meaning the market will favor corporate sellers and tenants. In addition, we expect investor demand for essential retail such as grocery and quick-service-restaurants will remain strong in 2022, as those sectors have demonstrated exceptional resiliency during the pandemic and resulting economic downturn. We’ll likely also see an increase in volume of retail sale-leasebacks in Europe, particularly for those essential assets, as US-based investors expand into new markets to take advantage of different costs of capital. What's Next Overall, the outlook for sale-leasebacks remains positive across all three core property types, with 2021 shaping up to potentially be a record year for deal volume. As long as the market fundamentals remain strong, corporate sellers pursuing a sale-leaseback will be able to secure high valuations for their real estate assets while locking in current low rates for the long term. Working with an experienced sale-leaseback investor such as W. P. Carey ensures sellers unlock 100% fair market value of their assets–which can be reinvested into growth initiatives–and also provides a long-term capital partner that can support future real estate needs.