WPC in the News
Net Lease Retail Demand Follows Where Retailers Are Growing
The US net lease market is experiencing a resurgence. Valuations reset throughout 2025, meaning the bid-ask spread narrowed. And in spite of economic headwinds, net lease volumes increased by 24% year-over-year for the fiscal year ending in Q3 2025, according to CBRE. For Michael Fitzgerald, managing director and head of US retail at W. P. Carey, finding the right retail investment opportunity starts with understanding some tell-tale signals. “The US net lease retail environment is driven primarily by the general health of retailers,” says Fitzgerald. “Are there a large number of retail operators that are opening new locations or investing in existing locations in a way where they need access to capital?” When the answer to that question is yes, deal flow often follows, and Fitzgerald points to specific categories where he sees the strongest deal flow and investor interest right now. Non-discretionary Categories Draw Investor Interest Fitzgerald notes that retailers that sell non-discretionary products or services are among the most interesting for investors, but tend to carry lower cap rates. “We also think about the macro trends, such as fitness,” says Fitzgerald. “It used to be something that a small percentage of the population would pay for; now it’s become a non-discretionary spend for a lot of families because general health and fitness have become a priority.” He notes that convenience stores, car washes and automotive services are among the other segments he sees generating strong deal flow, with car washes having regained interest and automotive services drawing attention across the board. Full Loan-to-Value Appeal Drives Demand For business operators or CFOs seeking efficient forms of capital, Fitzgerald explains that the net lease structure is hard to beat. “They can redeploy that capital back into their businesses at a higher return because they’re getting more loan-to-value than a mortgage,” says Fitzgerald. “That’s why we see sale-leasebacks continuing to be one of the top choices for businesses that have an ongoing need for capital.” When evaluating a net lease retail asset, Fitzgerald explains that the analysis centers on whether a location can generate enough cash flow to cover rent easily across a commitment that can run for 20 years or more. He also notes that new stores can complicate that picture since there is no operating history to draw from, which is why assets with longer track records tend to be the easiest to understand and underwrite. Net Lease Retail Holds Up Across Good Economies and Bad Despite continued headlines about retailer store closures, Fitzgerald notes that the net lease retail market is more durable than the news cycle suggests. He explains that the net lease market has proved resilient across good and bad economies, with the most difficult periods coming not from downturns but from rapid interest rate swings in either direction. “I’m optimistic about the net lease retail market. Even in times of relative instability, we continue to see consistent deal flow, as companies leverage sale-leaseback transactions to monetize real estate and fund growth,” says Fitzgerald.
A Balancing Act Between Deployment and Discipline
Net lease continues to be one of the core investment strategies employed in the global real estate market, but conditions in the US and Europe do not strictly mirror one another, explain Christopher Mertlitz, Head of European investments, and Zachary Pasanen, Co-head of North American Investments. However, across both of these regions, a common thread is emerging amid an uncertain macro environment: investors are balancing pressure to deploy capital with a more cautious approach to pricing, risk and long-term tenant viability. Download W. P. Carey’s keynote interview from the PERE Net Lease Report to learn more about the differences between the US and European net lease markets, which asset classes are garnering the most interest from investors, where deal flow is coming from and more.
The Net Lease Market Finds Its Footing
Net lease investors have been on a wild ride over the last few years. The large run-up in benchmark rates beginning in 2022 created challenges around pricing expectations. However, Jason Patterson, executive director, investments at W. P. Carey, notes that despite some trade volatility and other factors, more stability in long-term rates over the past two years has helped those on both sides of a transaction find more common ground on where pricing should land. Bid-Ask Spreads Narrow as Pricing Stabilizes For much of the reset period, sellers were anchored in 2022-era valuations, while buyers priced deals on materially wider rates, and that gap has begun to narrow. “A slightly more range-bound 10-year Treasury provides some confidence on where pricing should shake out,” says Patterson. He adds that increased capital inflows to the net lease space have also further compressed bids, driving more transactions to pencil out on both sides. Where sellers once struggled to meet the market, a more stable pricing environment has made that alignment more achievable. Tighter Credit Spreads and Sale-Leasebacks Support Deal Flow Patterson explains that credit spreads broadly had been near record lows until recently, a condition that he describes as helping keep cap rates from widening significantly. Tighter spreads benefit net lease investors both in how deals are capitalized and in the cap rates at which tenants and developers expect to transact. Patterson notes that he expects to see an increase in sale-leaseback interest driven by a pickup in private equity and M&A activity. He also adds that lower short-term rates may stimulate deal flow in private equity, and a change in ownership often serves as the catalyst for a sale-leaseback arrangement. Moving forward, Patterson points to interest rate volatility and credit as two of the most important factors for net lease investors. Rate volatility, he notes, can quickly undermine returns. He also flags credit as a persistent area of focus, noting that while recent headlines have raised broader concerns, the long-term nature of net lease real estate may make those risks more muted than in other sectors. And as the market moves into a more active phase, those who keep a close eye on both will be best positioned to capitalize on what Patterson sees as a period of growing opportunity ahead.
REIT Access to Equity Markets Could Accelerate Acquisitions in the Coming Year
REITs are working to find a seat at the table as active buyers for commercial real estate property as the transaction market regains momentum. One sign that REITs are positioning to take advantage of buying opportunities is a recent flurry of equity raising. Five REITs went to the market with secondary offerings in February, raising a combined $1.3 billion. W. P. Carey Inc. (NYSE: WPC) raised $496.8 million Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: EPRT) raised $350 million NETSTREIT Corp. (NYSE: NTST) raised $208 million Curbline Properties Corp. (NYSE: CURB) raised $204 million Getty Realty Corp. (NYSE: GTY) raised $131 million W. P. Carey is coming off a record $2.1 billion in new acquisitions in 2025. “It's a really good market right now for us. The stability in interest rates has brought bid-ask spreads in, and sellers who have been on the sidelines for the last few years are now back into the market. So, we took advantage of that in 2025,” says CEO Jason Fox. The company is targeting primarily manufacturing and logistics facilities, as well as select retail, both in the United States and Europe. The REIT is poised for more growth in 2026 thanks to a strong balance sheet that includes roughly over $850 million in equity forwards, a credit facility of more than $2 billion that is largely undrawn, and annual free cash flow of about $300 million per year. The company has issued conservative guidance for acquisitions of between $1.25 billion and $1.75 billion, with the expectation that those numbers will be adjusted depending on how the year progresses. “Our cost of capital is as strong as it's been for quite some time. That supports accretive investment activity, and it allows us to be competitive on pricing when needed,” Fox says. “I think a lot of REITs find themselves in a similar position.” For all those reasons, REITs are likely to be more active acquirers this year. That's reflected in deal volume to date, as well as many of the guidance numbers for 2026, he adds. Across the board, it’s safe to say that REITs have been preparing for an acquisition spree. “Operationally, REITs are very much ready to handle a significant increase in number of properties, and some of that's being helped by the technology investments that companies have been making to be efficient and manage more with less,” says Matthew Werner, managing director, REIT strategies, at Chilton Capital Management. REITs also have worked to strengthen balance sheets. Many are under-levered with some of the lowest debt ratios they’ve ever had and very low levels of floating-rate debt specifically. “They have tons of capital capacity, but except for a few sectors, their cost of equity doesn’t make sense for them to go and do transactions,” Werner says. Cost of Capital Hurdles After multiple years of low transactions volume, commercial real estate transaction volume started to recover and rose 23% last year to $545.3 billion, according to MSCI. Certainly, REITs were among the group of buyers. In fact, four REITs—Welltower Inc. (NYSE: WELL), Agree Realty Corp. (NYSE: ADC), W. P. Carey, and Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (NYSE: STWD)—ranked in the top 12 for most active buyers last year based on the total number of properties acquired, according to MSCI. However, REITs as a group were noticeably less active last year. REITs accounted for 5.5% of the total transaction volume compared to 9.6% of transaction volume the prior year, and more than 10% of transaction volume in 2020 and 2021, according to JLL. The key reason for that decline is that most REITs have been trading at discounts to NAV since mid-2022, when the Federal Reserve first began its rate-hiking cycle. “A lot of REITs, through no fault of their own, have been trading at perpetual discounts to NAV,” says Steve Hentschel, senior managing director and leader of the M&A and corporate advisory platform at JLL. “It's very hard to raise new equity when it's dilutive, and without raising new equity, it's hard to be an active acquirer,” he says. Over the last few years, many publicly traded REITs have been trading at discounts to both their underlying asset values and the broader equity markets. That dynamic constrained opportunities to make new investments, and instead resulted in some take-private activity, adds Bryan Connolly, chair of DLA Piper’s U.S. real estate practice. “Looking ahead, as the underlying real estate fundamentals improve, interest rates stabilize and potentially decrease, and values in the private market continue to adjust, there should be more opportunities for growth by public REITs,” he says. Haves and Have Nots The spike in interest rates and pricing volatility that sent both buyers and sellers to the sidelines in 2023 and 2024 appears to be reversing course. The availability of debt, cost of debt, and comfort level with valuations are all improving, which is good news for commercial real estate sales activity in general. For REITs, the ability to transact is still divided into those “haves” and “have nots” in terms of NAV. The “haves” are those sectors that are trading at large premiums to NAV, notably health care, net lease retail, and data centers. Health care REITs in particular are trading at historically large premiums that are 50%, 100%, or even close to 150% above NAV in some cases. As a result, companies such as Welltower, Ventas, Inc. (NYSE: VTR), American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (NYSE: ATR) and CareTrust REIT, Inc. (NYSE: CTR) have been very acquisitive. Welltower, for example, completed $13.9 billion in new investments in the fourth quarter alone, which is larger than the total asset size of some public REITs. CareTrust invested $1.8 billion in 2025, including $562 million in fourth quarter. At REITworld last December, CareTrust President and CEO Dave Sedgwick said that with a larger team and broader platform, the “table is set” for another strong year. The REIT kicked off 2026 with the January announcement of a $142 million acquisition of six skilled nursing facilities in the Mid-Atlantic region. “We've always said, if you’ve got it, flaunt it, and we’re seeing that now from a lot of these health care REITs where they are appropriately using that cheaper cost of equity to be acquisitive in the markets they operate in,” says Daniel Ismail, co-head of strategic research, managing director, at Green Street. Health care REITs have the added benefit of finding good buying opportunities within sub-sectors, particularly in senior housing, he adds. Net lease is another sector that has been leveraging its cost of capital advantage to make accretive acquisitions. And many of the same players that were active last year expect to keep their foot on the gas. For example, Agree Realty acquired $1.45 billion in retail net lease properties last year, and the company recently increased guidance for 2026 to $1.6 billion to be deployed across its three external growth platforms. “Our pipeline to start the year is very healthy, filled with typical assets and pricing that investors would anticipate from Agree Realty,” says CEO Joey Agree. However, the REIT is watching to see how the expectation of lower interest rates this year will play out in terms of pricing, sellers, and the competitive landscape. “One important misconception is that publicly listed and private capital are chasing the same assets,” he adds. “It’s important for investors to understand the size and scope of the net lease market and appreciate the divergent strategies and execution of the many players.” Positioning for Acquisitions On the opposite side of the spectrum, a number of sectors are trading at discounts to NAV of between roughly 10% and 20%, including office, apartments, industrial, self-storage, and lodging. REITs in those sectors are still buying assets, but they are less active. “It will be hard to see them ramp up acquisition activity throughout 2026, and they likely will be highly selective in the type of deals they do,” Ismail says. Digging into individual property sectors, there are multiple examples of companies that have done a lot of hard work to put themselves in better positions for the acquisitions to “turn back on,” Werner adds. “The market is paying attention to that and rewarding these companies,” he says. FrontView REIT, Inc. (NYSE: FVR), for example, was able to source a convertible preferred investment and now has the opportunity to prove their acquisition strategy. As a result, their share price is on a path toward being able to issue common equity again, and the company will be able to continue acquisitions after they use the cash from the convertible preferred issuance, Werner notes. REITs also have another lever to pull that could give them an edge in acquisitions—the ability to utilize the tax advantages of the REIT structure to allow private operators to sell their assets to REITs. Instead of a cash sale, an owner could consider an UPREIT, which would allow them to transfer their basis into operating partnership (OP) units. There have been one or two examples of that in strip centers, which has been experiencing good fundamentals. “So, we could see a few more of those as the year goes on,” Ismail says. Outlook for M&A Activity In addition to property sales, the environment could be more conducive for M&A deals this year, both in public-to-public and take-private deals. One recent announcement was the acquisition of Veris Residential, Inc. (NYSE: VRE) by a group led by Affinius Capital for $3.4 billion in cash. “If the math doesn't work for a REIT to go buy something on the private market, why not buy a public peer with an exchange,” Werner says. “I think the sector is ripe for that, but I do think that it's also ripe for take-privates because the debt markets are very open.” Many of the M&A deals that have occurred in the last year were take-privates that involved deals below $3 billion. Some of those transactions are getting done in “chunks” with perhaps one buyer acquiring a large portion of the portfolio, with other assets or smaller portions being sold off separately, Hentschel notes. For example, Aimco is reportedly sold seven of its Chicago-area properties to an investment group for $455 million as part of its liquidation. Buying Opportunities Ahead REITs could find more buying opportunities ahead in a market where transaction volume is rising and the bid-ask pricing gap between buyers and sellers is narrowing. Although transaction markets have not been entirely frozen, the inventory of for-sale properties has been thin, with more sellers that have opted to hold onto properties and wait out market volatility. “There was plenty of liquidity, but there was a bid-ask gap between buyers and sellers, and now that gap is closing, and more product is coming to market,” Hentschel says. In its 2025 Year-End Real Estate Trends Report, DLA Piper is predicting that U.S. commercial real estate transaction volume will increase by another 15% to 20% this year. “We expect REITs will be most active in sectors perceived to benefit from multi-year tailwinds such as health care and housing-related assets, including senior housing and multifamily properties,” Connolly says. Data centers are likely to continue to command interest, as well as manufacturing and logistics due to supply chain challenges, continued expansion of e-commerce, and on-shoring. “Public REITs have been challenged by the gap between how the public market values their stock and how the private market values the underlying real estate,” Connolly points out. “However, as private market values continue to adjust to the new reality, this headwind should diminish.”
Project Management Teams Deliver Big Value for Tenants
There’s no question that the current real estate development market is challenging. Labor shortages and rising material costs are creating hurdles in the construction industry, which is being compounded by limited inventory of vacant real estate for certain property types, leaving companies with very few options for additional square footage or property upgrades. The good news is that companies that lease their building may be in luck thanks to a high-value service some landlords are offering: a dedicated project management team. Project management teams come in all shapes and sizes, but they have the potential to handle all types of development projects (e.g., expansions, renovations and build-to-suits) as well as deliver turnkey solutions. REITs and other longer-term investors will often invest in these teams, priding themselves on being a partner to their tenants for the duration of the lease and beyond. Project management teams manage everything from conceptual planning to design to construction management, assembling a team of architects, consultants and contractors. This holistic service is particularly valuable since most tenants don’t have the resources—be it the capital, relationships or expertise—to execute these projects themselves. And leveraging their landlord’s project management team is often more efficient and cost-effective than hiring a third-party developer, and enables them to focus on their core business, which is most likely not real estate development. In today’s market, having access to a dedicated project management team with a shared interest in their tenant’s business and the expertise to effectively navigate current challenges is more valuable than ever. Here’s why: Renovate, modernize or convert an existing building Project management teams can adapt an existing building to reflect the tenant’s evolving real estate needs. This could encompass a full renovation and modernization of an outdated building or converting one property type to another (e.g., office to R&D) to reflect a changing business model. Moreover, with prices continuing to increase having a project management partner that can finance the upfront costs associated with these projects is critical. In addition, working with a project management team that understands the ins and outs of a tenant’s business along with being able to offer a tailored approach means the final product will be ideally suited to the tenant’s long-term needs, in comparison to if the tenant worked with a third-party developer. Expand an asset to accommodate a need for more space In order to continue growing, many tenants need to expand their real estate footprint to make room for more equipment, inventory and more. However, record-low availability of real estate means that many tenants can’t find the additional space they need. An in-house project management team can help by working with tenants to expand their existing space to accommodate growing business needs. A huge benefit of this approach is that tenants can typically continue operating in their existing facilities during an expansion, offering minimal disruption to day-to-day operations. Retrofit an existing space to make it more sustainable With energy costs continuing to soar, there’s never been a better time for tenants to update their properties to make them more sustainable. In-house project management teams can work on a variety of sustainability projects including renewable energy opportunities – such as solar panel installations – energy efficiency retrofits and green building certifications. These sustainable projects can reduce tenants operating costs and help reduce scope 1 and 2 emissions to align with their sustainability goals. Conclusion For landlords, investing in a project management team is a win-win. Turnkey project management solutions add value for tenants by adapting their property to meet their long-term needs, helping increase lease renewals while also improving the overall quality of the portfolio. From an investment perspective, having a project management team also provides a steady pipeline of attractive internal investment opportunities, while enabling the landlord to have project oversight on deals where they are also serving as the capital provider.
Sale-leaseback Activity Expected to Grow as Capital Conditions Improve in 2026
After a slow start, sale-leaseback activity saw a resurgence in the second half of 2025. Early in the year, activity was dampened by uncertain fundamentals and macroeconomic headwinds, but momentum returned as market conditions stabilized. “It was a year of growth, particularly for industrial middle-market sale-leasebacks, which are a large part of W. P. Carey’s business,” says Tyler Swann, managing director, investments, at W. P. Carey. With interest rates stabilizing and companies continuing to explore innovative ways to raise capital, sale-leaseback activity is expected to remain strong in the new year. Falling Rates Support a Strong Outlook For many businesses, changing capital conditions play a major role in decision-making. Swann notes that long-term rates, which directly impact sale-leaseback pricing, have been trending downward. He explains that the 10-year US Treasury rate started the year in the mid to high fours, before settling around 4%, improving the cost of capital and creating stronger incentives for companies to act. “Lower cost of debt and equity enabled us to offer lower cap rates to potential tenants,” says Swann. He adds that when interest rates decline, companies often feel more comfortable making longer-term capital commitments, including sale-leasebacks with 10-, 15- or 20-year terms. Improved Trade Clarity Continues to Strengthen Activity Uncertainty around trade policy has created pockets of hesitation among many companies as they weigh their decisions. “Some people didn’t want to make long-term commitments to facilities, not knowing exactly what the trade policy was going to look like,” says Swann. “However, the threat of tariffs has begun to temper and, as a result, activity is getting stronger.” He notes that trade uncertainty has also pushed some companies to double down on their commitments to domestic supply chains. Swann adds that industrial vacancy remains low in many markets and rental rates have generally held steady or increased, reinforcing investors’ appetite to acquire these types of assets through sale-leasebacks. Improving Capital Conditions Create a Tailwind for 2026 With long-term rates stabilizing or slightly declining over the past year, Swann expects these shifts to remain a positive influence on sale-leasebacks. “I anticipate this stability to be a tailwind for investment activity for the same reason it was in 2025,” he says. He also points to merger and acquisition activity as another area to watch. Swann believes a pickup in private equity transactions could further boost sale-leaseback volume in the coming year. As interest rates continue to inch lower, he notes that activity may resemble more active periods of previous cycles, setting the stage for a strong 2026.
Sale-leasebacks Gain Momentum as Global M&A Values Grow
Private equity sponsors are rethinking how they access capital as the M&A market heats up. Global M&A values have climbed to $1.89 trillion in the first half of 2025, meanwhile fluctuating interest rates and tighter financing make traditional methods of raising capital less appealing. “The tighter rate environment is a moving target, particularly with the recent rate cut,” says Jason Patterson, executive director of investments at W. P. Carey. “As a general rule of thumb, alternative sources of capital, such as sale-leasebacks, are attractive right now, especially if you’re having trouble securing debt in a more structured transaction.” As firms look to move forward in the current market, many are finding strategic opportunities with sale-leasebacks to tap into capital, both before and after M&A deal closings. Capturing Flexibility Pre- and Post-Acquisition For private equity firms, a sale-leaseback offers flexibility throughout the merger and acquisition process. In the pre-acquisition phase, this strategy helps reduce equity requirements. “This can lower the equity needed to close, which is especially attractive at the start of an M&A deal,” says Patterson. On the post-acquisition side, Patterson notes that a large amount of capital often remains tied up in real estate, and that sale-leaseback proceeds can support new acquisitions, or fund reinvestment in the buildings themselves. Because of this flexibility, Patterson is seeing more sponsors incorporate sale-leasebacks into their regular strategies. Securing Certainty and Speed Patterson stresses that execution speed and reliability are critical when incorporating sale-leasebacks into a strategic playbook. “Having someone you can be certain is going to provide the capital necessary to close that acquisition on time is of the utmost importance,” says Patterson. As an example, he points to a transaction in which W. P. Carey funded more than $400 million at closing for a large pharmaceutical manufacturer. “It took a lot of coordination and trust among the parties,” says Patterson. “But having that certainty was extraordinarily valuable to the sponsor because they didn’t have to call their own capital or raise additional debt to fund the transaction.” Patterson also explains that groups sometimes lack sufficient information about the real estate transaction to even consider a sale-leaseback until they are near closing, which is why having a partner who can move quickly and reliably is important. Putting Proceeds to Work Once a sale-leaseback is completed, the proceeds can be deployed in a variety of ways. Patterson notes that some groups use the capital to grow the business or expand production. In other cases, proceeds might go toward paying down debt when the cost of funds under a sale-leaseback is more attractive than traditional financing. Patterson believes this flexibility could drive wider use of the strategy in future M&A transactions. “Many groups don’t always appreciate [that] they’re literally sitting on some of the most valuable sources of capital they have in the real estate they own,” says Patterson. “And as more become familiar with using sale-leasebacks as a strategy, I think it’s possible that it could increasingly be used in the M&A process.”
Sale-leasebacks Gain Ground as Flexible Capital Solution
With corporate debt maturing and capital market and tariff uncertainty persisting, more companies are turning to sale-leasebacks to access capital quickly, without sacrificing control of their key real estate. “Sale-leasebacks are a unique option to provide liquidity, especially when traditional lending becomes less accessible and more expensive,” says Zachary Pasanen, managing director, investments, W. P. Carey. “Interest rates are still elevated, so companies that own their real estate are leaning into sale-leasebacks to pay off expensive debt and shore up their financial position.” As a result, this long-standing strategy is seeing increased interest as operators across industries navigate rising debt costs, looming maturities and a cautious lending environment. Meeting liquidity needs quickly In a typical sale-leaseback, a company sells a property it owns and simultaneously leases it back from the buyer. This frees up capital previously tied up in real estate while allowing the company to keep operating in the same location. “W. P. Carey is unique in that we don’t use asset-level financing,” says Pasanen. “We’re an all-equity buyer with access to multiple forms of capital, which allows us to close quickly on deals that meet our investment criteria.” He points to a recent nine-figure deal that closed just 22 days after signing the letter of intent, highlighting the advantage of working with a buyer that has decades of broad experience and ready access to capital. For companies looking beyond traditional debt financing, sale-leasebacks are a great option, particularly when you can find a buyer that offers speed and certainty of execution. “It allows the company to focus on their core competency, whether that’s a product or service, rather than tying up capital in real estate,” says Pasanen. What to consider before moving forward For companies exploring this strategy for the first time, Pasanen has a few words of advice, starting with the accounting implications. “Talk to your accounting department beforehand to make sure you understand how the lease will be treated on the books,” says Pasanen. From there, he says it’s about evaluating all your options. Many companies are surprised to learn that even secondary or tertiary locations can appeal to the right buyer. “We’re location agnostic,” says Pasanen. “As long as we’re acquiring mission-critical real estate with a long-term commitment from a company, we’re willing to consider a deal, irrespective of location.” Looking ahead, companies are likely to encounter escalating expenses and more restrictive lending environments, positioning sale-leasebacks as an effective means to swiftly generate capital and align with long-term strategic goals. “With the access to capital that we have,” says Pasanen, “we really view ourselves as a leading provider of sale-leaseback financing, delivering the type of solutions operators need in order to fund their next phase of growth.”
'Still Bullish' on Net Lease Retail Despite Economic Uncertainty
Despite some economic ebbs and flows as of late, certain sectors of net lease retail, particularly those more immune to tariff concerns such as service-based businesses, remain attractive to investors who are ready to deploy capital, W. P. Carey’s Michael Fitzgerald told GlobeSt at ICSC Las Vegas last week. In this video, you'll hear: How Fitzgerald remains bullish on net lease retail amid the changing landscape over the last year; Why sale-leasebacks continue to be a popular deal type, and which types of retailers should consider them; and What sectors are seeing and will see strong demand from investors in 2025. Watch now An interview with Michael Fitzgerald, W. P. Carey, and Holly Amaya, GlobeSt.com.