Thought Leadership
How Sellers Can Maximize Value During Times of Inflation
Driven by the economy reopening and increasing consumer demand, the US economy is experiencing the biggest surge in inflation in over a decade. The Fed expects higher-than-usual inflation to continue throughout the year, but believes it is transitory and will level off next year as supply chain bottlenecks caused by the pandemic resolve. Although inflation is often associated with negative factors such as higher prices for consumer goods and higher labor costs, corporate owner-occupiers can benefit from a surge in demand for hard assets through a sale-leaseback of their corporate real estate. In a sale-leaseback, a company sells its real estate to an investor for cash and simultaneously enters into a long-term lease. The seller works with the buyer to structure a lease for a period that meets its needs without having to worry about refinancing. The seller can then use the cash to grow its business, reduce debt or execute on other higher-return core business initiatives. While there are numerous reasons to leverage this cost-effective financing tool in all market conditions, there are added benefits for sellers amid rising inflation: Increased property values: During inflationary periods there is higher demand for hard assets such as commercial real estate, as it is a natural inflation hedge due to its appreciation over time. This means that more buyers are in the market, increasing competition and driving real estate prices higher. Less supply: Inflation leads to increased material and labor costs, which disincentivizes developers from building new properties and limits supply. This puts a premium on existing, high-quality properties, which reinforces the fact that sellers can unlock more value out of their real estate. Higher borrowing costs: The cost of borrowing is typically impacted during inflationary periods, as inflation devalues the currency and forces lenders to raise interest rates. As a result, loans will be a more expensive option for companies when compared to long-term sale-leaseback financing from all-equity buyers who are better positioned in an inflationary environment. Favorable rents: Before the Fed’s anticipated hike of interest rates next year, sellers have the opportunity to lock in current low rates on a very long-term basis. The lease term on a sale-leaseback is typically anywhere from 15 to 25 years compared a five- or even 10-year term on a commercial mortgage. Sale-leasebacks also enable the seller to unlock 100% of the value of the real estate compared to a bank mortgage, where 70% to 75% loan-to-value ratio is more likely. For corporate sellers seeking working capital this means now is the time to act. When considering a sale-leaseback, it’s important to partner with an experienced, all-equity buyer with both the expertise to close quickly and the capital to support its tenants’ long-term business objectives. W. P. Carey has specialized in sale-leasebacks for nearly 50 years and prides itself on being a long-term partner to its tenants. If you or your client are interested in selling your corporate real estate, contact us today.
Sale-leasebacks Are Back!
The sale-leaseback market is booming. Strong fundamentals including low interest rates, outsized demand for high-quality assets, an active M&A market and significant amounts of capital driven by cheap debt and strong currency make now an opportune time for sellers to execute a sale-leaseback and unlock otherwise illiquid capital tied up in their real estate. According to data from SLB Capital Advisors, sale-leaseback activity increased 17% in Q2 from the previous quarter, reaching $3.6 billion–the second highest in terms of deal volume since before the pandemic in Q4 2019. With interest rates unlikely to rise in the short term and property valuations being pushed higher as new investors enter the sale-leaseback market, we expect this high level of activity to continue into 2022. However, within the broader sale-leaseback market, each core property type–industrial, office and retail–faces unique headwinds and tailwinds, presenting new challenges and opportunities across each. Here’s how we think each will fare in 2022. The Industrial Surge The industrial real estate market continues to be one of the strongest sectors fueled by tailwinds related to the growth of e-commerce, including increased inventory requirements and record-low vacancy rates. These strong fundamentals mean that investor demand for industrial sale-leasebacks will only increase, particularly as new entrants enter the market. We are already seeing the effects of this–but as more entrants enter, the imbalance between the product available and demand for assets will continue to widen, driving prices higher and cap rates lower–even in traditionally non-core industrial markets. In addition, a lag in new development due to increased material and labor costs will keep real estate valuations for existing assets high. As a result, we don’t see the industrial market slowing any time soon–creating immense opportunity for sellers to maximize the value of their real estate through a sale-leaseback. Growing Office Optimism While office has certainly been a dark horse in the real estate market due to lockdowns and work-from-home mandates, there’s some optimism on the horizon going into 2022. Several big tech companies such as Google, Facebook and Amazon, have made investments in NYC office space this year, sparking early signs of recovery in the sector. In addition, Sun Belt markets such as Texas and Florida–where many urbanites migrated during the pandemic–are seeing an increase in demand for offices supported predominantly by the small and mid-size businesses located in those regions. For potential sellers, these are all positive signs and suggest that investor demand for certain office assets will rise in 2022, particularly for high-quality properties in strong markets leased to investment-grade tenants. Retail's Road to Recovery Similar to the office market, retail is seeing a recovery from COVID-19 pandemic lows. Retail foot traffic and sales continue to increase, but the rise of e-commerce has certainly left a lasting impact on the industry as a whole, as most retailers are now implementing hybrid store models which include both brick-and-mortar stores and online distribution. In the next few years, many retailers will likely reevaluate their portfolios in terms of number of stores, location and use–and many may downsize as online orders become a greater proportion of their sales. As a result, the overall level of occupied retail space will likely shrink, meaning the market will favor corporate sellers and tenants. In addition, we expect investor demand for essential retail such as grocery and quick-service-restaurants will remain strong in 2022, as those sectors have demonstrated exceptional resiliency during the pandemic and resulting economic downturn. We’ll likely also see an increase in volume of retail sale-leasebacks in Europe, particularly for those essential assets, as US-based investors expand into new markets to take advantage of different costs of capital. What's Next Overall, the outlook for sale-leasebacks remains positive across all three core property types, with 2021 shaping up to potentially be a record year for deal volume. As long as the market fundamentals remain strong, corporate sellers pursuing a sale-leaseback will be able to secure high valuations for their real estate assets while locking in current low rates for the long term. Working with an experienced sale-leaseback investor such as W. P. Carey ensures sellers unlock 100% fair market value of their assets–which can be reinvested into growth initiatives–and also provides a long-term capital partner that can support future real estate needs.
Sale-leaseback 101
What is a sale-leaseback? The concept is simple. For many companies, their real estate represents a significant cash value that could be redeployed to fund their core business operations and growth strategies. Through the “sale and leaseback” model (or sale-leaseback), a company sells its real estate to an investor for cash and simultaneously enters into a long-term lease with the new owner. In doing so, the seller extracts 100% of the property’s value and converts an otherwise illiquid asset into working capital, while maintaining full operational control of the facility. What are the benefits? There are many reasons why a company would consider monetizing its owned real estate. Sale-leasebacks offer companies an alternative to traditional bank financing. This is particularly advantageous during periods of uncertainty—as seen during COVID-19 when conventional financing was limited, especially for sub-investment grade companies. Whether a company is looking to invest in R&D, expand into a new market, fund an M&A transaction or simply de-lever, sale-leasebacks serve as a strategic capital allocation tool to fund both internal and external growth in all market conditions. Key benefits include: Immediate access to capital to reinvest in core business operations and growth initiatives with higher equity returns. We like to say that most businesses are not in the business of owning real estate. A sale-leaseback enables companies to focus on its core competencies, while capitalizing on the value arbitrage between the real estate valuation and the company’s EBITDA multiple. 100% market value realization of otherwise illiquid assets compared to the 65% to 75% of the appraised value that a typical mortgage would garner. Limited financial covenants, unlike some debt instruments, providing the seller with greater control over its operations. Alternative capital source when conventional financing is unavailable or limited. Retainment of operational control with no disruption to day-to-day operations. Potential tax benefits by deducting rental payments rather than being subject to interest limitations for traditional debt as defined by tax laws. Why now? Record level dry power, coupled with today’s low interest rate environment continue to drive investor demand for alternative investments such as real estate, pushing property values to all-time highs. These conditions make now an opportune time for sellers to maximize their proceeds and secure favorably priced, long-term capital via a sale-leaseback before interest rates rise again. In conclusion Key to the success of a sale-leaseback arrangement is finding an experienced and well-capitalized investor who can understand the unique requirements of each seller and structure the lease accordingly. When working with an investor like W. P. Carey, sellers have the added advantage of gaining a long-term partner who can support its tenants through long-term flexibility and additional capital should they wish to pursue follow-on projects such as expansions or energy retrofits as their business and real estate needs evolve.