Sale-leaseback
The Outlook for Industrial
The industrial real estate sector continues to stand out as a resilient and adaptive asset class, even amid economic uncertainty and shifting global dynamics. As we move through 2025, several dominant trends are shaping the trajectory of the market—from a fundamental shift in global supply chains to rising sustainability expectations, technological advancements and recalibration of capital strategies. Here’s a look at what’s driving the market: Onshoring and Supply Chain Reconfiguration The reshoring of manufacturing and logistics operations is no longer a speculative trend—it’s a structural shift. Spurred by pandemic-era supply chain disruptions and ongoing tariff concerns, companies are doubling down on operational resilience. This has led to a surge in demand for modern industrial space in inland and secondary markets, particularly near major highway corridors and intermodal hubs. This shift is putting pressure on developers to deliver new inventory quickly, even as construction costs and permitting timelines remain elevated. In particular, industrial locations in non-coastal metros are seeing increased activity as firms diversify away from traditional port-adjacent markets. Demand for Sustainable Real Estate Sustainability is no longer a “nice to have”—it’s a core tenant demand. Industrial occupiers are increasingly seeking energy-efficient, environmentally responsible facilities that align with their business goals and lower operational costs. This includes buildings equipped with solar-ready rooftops, LED lighting, EV charging infrastructure and LEED certifications. The push for greener buildings is also being driven by investors, who are factoring sustainability into underwriting and long-term asset value. Sustainable assets typically observe higher value in the market and are likely to lease up faster. Advancements in Technology From AI-enabled automation to smart building systems and robotics, technology is revolutionizing industrial and warehouse properties. In fact, more than a quarter of U.S. warehouse inventory is expected to be automated by 2027. Industrial occupiers leverage automation to create a more efficient process for moving products through their facilities, speeding up order fulfillment and improving inventory management. Properties equipped with automation and robust digital infrastructure are also typically viewed as “future proof,” making them more attractive to investors over the long term. Capital Markets and the Rise of Sale-Leasebacks Tariff concerns, economic volatility and tightened liquidity are prompting many corporate occupiers to turn toward alternative sources of capital, such as sale-leasebacks. This trend is especially pronounced in the industrial sector due to the strong investment profiles of these assets. The primary benefit of a sale-leaseback is the ability to immediately convert an illiquid real estate asset into liquid capital to meet both short- and long-term needs. Sale-leasebacks can also help boost a company’s balance sheet by putting them in a better cash position and improving their debt-to-equity ratio, enabling them to secure more attractive debt financing in the future should they need it. The Future is Bright Despite short-term headwinds such as tariffs and macroeconomic uncertainty, the industrial real estate market in 2025 is defined by transformation and opportunity. Onshoring is redrawing the logistics map, sustainability is reshaping development, technology is boosting efficiency and output, and capital markets are evolving to meet new financial realities. For stakeholders across the supply chain—from developers and investors to tenants and brokers—understanding these trends, and opportunities, is essential for navigating the road ahead.
'Still Bullish' on Net Lease Retail Despite Economic Uncertainty
Despite some economic ebbs and flows as of late, certain sectors of net lease retail, particularly those more immune to tariff concerns such as service-based businesses, remain attractive to investors who are ready to deploy capital, W. P. Carey’s Michael Fitzgerald told GlobeSt at ICSC Las Vegas last week. In this video, you'll hear: How Fitzgerald remains bullish on net lease retail amid the changing landscape over the last year; Why sale-leasebacks continue to be a popular deal type, and which types of retailers should consider them; and What sectors are seeing and will see strong demand from investors in 2025. Watch now An interview with Michael Fitzgerald, W. P. Carey, and Holly Amaya, GlobeSt.com.
ICSC Las Vegas Preview
ICSC Las Vegas, one of the largest commercial real estate gatherings, will again convene the industry’s leading professionals and retailers next week. Over 30,000 attendees will gather for networking, deal-making and insights into how the retail real estate industry will fare amid a volatile and uncertain economic environment. Tariffs, shifts in consumer sentiment and sale-leaseback opportunities will be among the biggest topics discussed at the conference. Outlined below is an overview of each. Tariffs add pressure and uncertainty for retailers Uncertainty surrounding tariffs is expected to have a substantial impact on the retail real estate industry. The National Retail Federation announced it expects the growth of U.S. retail sales to slow down this year due to consumer anxiety and inflation, with an outsized impact on smaller retailers and certain industries including textiles and electronics. While the long-term impact of tariff policies is unclear, retailers ultimately will have to determine how much of the additional costs they can absorb versus passing on to consumers. These decisions could have significant impacts on retailers’ balance sheets and ability to remain operational, affecting overall investment in the sector. Consumer sentiment shifts will impact investor demand Shifting consumer preferences continue to present both opportunities and challenges for retailers. Uncertainty surrounding the future of the economy has made consumers more budget conscious and focused on necessities. According to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, essential goods account for 65% of consumer spending. As a result, retailers will likely continue to show interest in grocery-anchored shopping centers, which continue to remain among the best-performing retail property types. E-commerce also continues to redefine retail. As more consumers shift their spending online, retailers like Macy’s are consolidating locations and shrinking their footprints. For investors seeking stability, this means targeting markets with strong population and job growth—where retail assets are most likely to perform well over the long term. Sale-leasebacks remain a viable financing option Despite economic uncertainty, the retail sale-leaseback market continues to grow—thanks to its clear advantages over traditional debt. By unlocking the full market value of their real estate, retailers can reinvest proceeds into their core business and drive stronger returns. Sale-leasebacks also provide long-term capital with no refinancing risk and typically without the restrictive debt covenants or balloon payments that come with conventional financing. In today’s climate, where liquidity and balance sheet flexibility are paramount, that kind of stability is more valuable than ever.
The Future of Net Lease Retail
Retail investors in 2025 face shifting market conditions, including tariff concerns, interest rate volatility, higher construction costs, and increased institutional competition. According to Michael Fitzgerald, executive director and head of US retail investments at W. P. Carey, these forces will continue to influence retail investments in the months ahead. “You have many factors pushing cap rates in different directions, with new entrants and fresh capital coming into the market,” says Fitzgerald. “That increased demand naturally drives rates down. But at the same time, rising 10-year interest rates and investors trying to protect their spread are pushing cap rates up. In the end, we’ve actually seen some stability since this time last year.” Still, in the current conditions, investors are reassessing how they evaluate risk, structure leases, and identify long-term value. Pressure Points Grow Rising construction and financing costs as well as the increasing cost of imported goods have become pressure points across the sector. According to Fitzgerald, those costs translate to higher rents, especially for new sale-leaseback deals. Even with those increases, Fitzgerald emphasizes that the need to ensure profitability still holds up at the store level. “We need to make sure the metrics still make sense,” he says. Additionally, inflation has made flat leases a tough sell for investors. “It’s fair to say the age of flat leases is over,” adds Fitzgerald. “Outside of grocery, there’s really not much appetite for retail leases with flat escalations.” Sale-leaseback Opportunities Remain Despite these headwinds, the retail sale-leaseback market has continued to see growth because the structure has basic advantages over other forms of financing. Sale-leasebacks offer long-term capital with no refinancing risk and typically without the restrictive debt covenants or balloon payments of traditional debt. As a result, companies that need capital and have a real estate footprint will continue to tap this form of financing despite overall higher cap rates. According to Fitzgerald, the best candidates for sale-leasebacks are growing retailers in healthy retail segments. This includes companies that provide discount non-discretionary products and services, convenience stores, service-based segments and fitness. How Disciplined Investors Move Forward When evaluating retail assets, Fitzgerald emphasizes the EBITDAR-to-rent ratio as a key metric. “It’s the single most important metric for understanding whether a retail location is a good long-term investment. Locations with a history of consistent profit will tend to stay open and can support a fair amount of rent.” Beyond that, Fitzgerald highlights that W. P. Carey also looks at the rent relative to market and the cost basis of the property relative to its construction cost or replacement cost. The corporate credit profile also plays a major role. Fitzgerald emphasizes he often looks for companies with strong credit, market leadership, conservative capitalization, solid management, a proven track record of success, and a conservative approach to growth. “W. P. Carey has a strong history of smart credit underwriting, and in some cases, our deep understanding of credit allows us to pursue investment ideas others will not.” Despite changing market conditions, Fitzgerald believes disciplined investors still have room to thrive. For instance, he points to W. P. Carey’s access to capital, as well as their overall balance sheet strength. “We are differentiated by our large balance sheet that allows us to make all-cash offers at large scale without any financing contingencies. This enables us to consistently offer certainty of close, which is often the most important factor sellers point to when choosing a sale-leaseback partner.”
Sale-leasebacks emerge as a solid choice for stable returns
In the more mature US net lease market, sale-leaseback deals are an increasingly common method for corporates to raise capital to reinvest in their core business. That approach remains relatively nascent in continental Europe, though it is beginning to catch on. Meanwhile, growing M&A activity promises to boost transaction volumes on both sides of the Atlantic, explain Christopher Mertlitz, Head of European Investments, and Tyler Swann, Managing Director, Investments, at net lease specialist W. P. Carey. Download W. P. Carey’s keynote interview from the PERE Net Lease Report to learn about the future of the net lease market, private equity's growing interest in sale-leasebacks and more!
Financing Sustainable Real Estate Through Sale-leasebacks
Financing sustainable building upgrades can be a daunting and expensive endeavor for many businesses. The upfront costs associated with sustainable materials, energy-efficient systems and eco-friendly designs often deter companies from pursuing these environmentally beneficial projects, even when they know there are long-term cost savings. Sale-leasebacks offer an effective solution to this challenge. By selling their real estate to an investor and leasing it back, companies can unlock capital which they can invest in sustainability upgrades, improving the quality of their building and often lowering operating costs. Landlords, like W. P. Carey, are also typically supportive of sustainability-focused building upgrades as they increase the overall value of the building. Here are several ways companies can leverage sale-leaseback financing to make their buildings more sustainable. Solar panel installations and green roofs One of the most effective sustainable upgrades for commercial facilities is installing solar panels on a roof or carport. Solar panels provide a clean source of energy and can help companies save on power costs. They also reduce over-reliance on the grid during peak periods when electricity demand is high and clean up the grid, providing a renewable and cost-effective alternative to fossil fuels. Depending on the location, companies may also be able to receive Renewable Energy Credits (RECs) or Guarantees of Origin (GOs). Another sustainable upgrade that can provide both environmental and economic benefits is a green roof, also known as vegetated or living roof. These are roof systems covered with waterproofing membrane, soil and vegetation. Green roofs can significantly improve stormwater management, reduce urban heat island effect, boost biodiversity by providing a habitat for plants and animals, and improve building energy efficiency. Both solar panels and green roofs are a great way to make a building more sustainable and help reduce energy costs for the tenant, but they require significant investment. By utilizing sale-leaseback financing, companies can easily unlock the capital they need to invest in these improvements. Sustainable construction For companies who are looking for a brand-new building and want to prioritize sustainability, a build-to-suit, which uses the sale-leaseback structure, is a great solution. Through a build-to-suit, a company can secure a custom-built, sustainable facility without the upfront capital investment. An investor funds and manages the construction of the new facility to meet the specifications of the future tenant, and upon completion, the company enters into a long-term lease. During the build-to-suit planning, companies can specify that they want to utilize sustainable construction, which means using recyclable and renewable materials during the building process as well as minimizing energy consumption and waste production. In addition, the building can be designed to minimize its carbon footprint by incorporating elements and materials that have a continuous positive influence on the environment. These features can include electric-vehicle charging stations, drought-resistant landscaping, heat pumps, appropriate insulation to prevent heat loss and greywater recycling. Energy-efficiency upgrades Implementing sustainable features to improve energy efficiency significantly impacts a property's life-cycle emissions. These upgrades are often relatively easy to implement but can be costly to install. By unlocking capital through a sale-leaseback, companies can extract the cash they need to invest in these improvements, making their building more sustainable and saving on energy costs in the long run. One example of an energy-efficiency upgrade is installing Internet of Things (IoT) technology, including smart meters, which help companies manage building efficiency on a daily basis. IoT sensors can gather information on energy consumption, temperature, air quality and occupancy levels, enabling tenants to best optimize the efficiency of their buildings. Companies can also leverage the capital from a sale-leaseback for building systems upgrades. Upgrading an outdated heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) system can help decrease utility consumption and create maintenance cost savings for the tenant. W. P. Carey can help While the financial burden of sustainable building upgrades can be substantial, sale-leasebacks provide a viable and strategic solution. Embracing this approach allows companies to align their environmental goals with their economic objectives, paving the way for a greener and more prosperous future. W. P. Carey is one of the largest net lease real estate investors and has significant experience working with companies on sale-leasebacks and sustainability solutions. If you’re interested in learning more, contact us today!
Net Lease Investors Adapt as Economic Uncertainty Lingers
Tariffs, interest rate fluctuations and macroeconomic uncertainties continue to reshape the net lease investment market. As these factors evolve, investors are working to make long-term decisions in an uncertain environment. “There’s a lot of volatility, especially around tariffs and trade policy,” says Jason Patterson, executive director of investments at W. P. Carey. “It’s difficult for a CFO or CEO to commit to a 20-year lease when so many of these factors are changing day to day.” This unpredictability has tempered deal volume, but as conditions stabilize, Patterson expects a resurgence in activity later in the year. The Impact of Interest Rate Volatility Interest rates have been a focal point for investors, particularly given their impact on pricing and transaction volumes. While rates have been trending downward recently, the past year has seen continued fluctuations, making it challenging for buyers and sellers to align on pricing expectations. “Investors really track the 10-year US Treasury as a guidepost for risk and pricing,” Patterson says. “The volatility we’ve seen has widened the bid-ask gap in many cases, making it harder for deals to come together.” He notes that as interest rates stabilize, market conditions should improve, leading to increased deal flow. Sale-Leasebacks Still Attractive Alternative to Unlocking Capital Uncertain economic conditions often prompt corporate real estate owners to explore sale-leaseback transactions as a means of unlocking capital. While Patterson hasn’t seen a major uptick yet, he expects that to change as 2025 progresses. “There are early signs of increased sale-leaseback activity,” Patterson says. “While we haven’t seen a huge spike just yet, M&A activity has been improving, and sale-leaseback volume often follows that trend.” He also notes that while uncertainty can sometimes deter companies from making long-term commitments, it can also push them toward alternative capital options, such as sale-leasebacks, to improve liquidity. Preparing for What’s Next With so much uncertainty, investors are focusing on proactive strategies to reduce risk and position themselves for long-term success. According to Patterson, much of this work happens upfront, from structuring leases with protective provisions to ensuring asset selection aligns with long-term needs. “The good thing about net leases is that once you’ve bought a building and signed a lease, there’s an expectation of long-term stability and predictability,” he explains. “The key is making sure those early decisions — such as lease structuring and tenant selection — are as strong as possible.” Active asset management also plays an important role. Maintaining strong relationships with tenants, tracking performance and being flexible with their needs can help investors handle potential challenges in the future. While economic uncertainty continues to persist, investors who remain disciplined and adaptable will be well positioned for success, and Patterson remains optimistic about the net lease market in the months ahead. “I don’t see an impending cliff or major downturn,” he says. “The best approach is to stay informed, track policy changes and make smart, forward-looking decisions.”
Tips for Ensuring a Successful Sale-Leaseback
A “great tool in really uncertain times,” the sale-leaseback can give immediate access to capital and minimize debt market exposure during uneasy economic periods. But for many looking to utilize it, the uncertainty of whether or not a deal will be successful can be a barrier to fully exploring it. Jason Patterson, SVP, investments at W. P. Carey, starts by recommending thorough planning and transparency and careful selection of the buyer and future landlord. “Especially with interest rates being volatile, knowing that your counter-party—the buyer—is experienced and well-capitalized is increasingly important, and will ensure that they show up at the closing table to complete the deal that you bargained for,” he says. Pre-Deal Prep Work Preparation and due diligence are always key in real estate investing, and it’s no different with sale-leasebacks. The seller/future tenant must figure out in advance its economic needs and preferences, including the term, rent level and rent escalators that make sense for the business. “Doing the pre-vetting process upfront on the big economic terms is key,” Patterson says. “Knowing the tenant has thought about and committed to the term and all the key economic points in a lease upfront makes a big difference and prevents the derailing of the process later on when a group might realize they can only do a 15-year lease versus a 20-year one.” Being timely and transparent about potential property issues is also critical to keeping the sale-leaseback deal on track. Whether environmental concerns, title complications or a problem with an old survey, issues will come out during the due diligence process so address them early on. Partnership Essentials: Real Estate to Relationship To enjoy the immediate access to capital, full market-value realization, preservation of operational control and other sale-leaseback benefits, corporate real estate sellers and private equity sponsors must do the deal. That means they must find the right buyer. “The biggest criteria in determining the best sale-leaseback partner is really access to capital and high certainty to close,” Patterson says. “That means finding a buyer who isn’t relying on a third-party financing source and doesn’t employ buying contingencies.” And the finish line isn’t the closing table. A buyer that is experienced in the market and a responsive, reliable landlord over the ensuing long-term lease is invaluable. “Make sure you’re choosing the right party for a long-term relationship,” says Patterson. “It’s great peace of mind knowing you have a landlord you can turn to in situations for flexibility or additional capital.” A strong partnership born of a sale-leaseback emphasizes the relationship versus a mere transaction. One of the resulting benefits for tenants is the ability to do more “bespoke-type” agreements, according to Patterson. Perhaps there’s an existing vendor the business wants to maintain ties with or the tenant has a big project underway on site; the long-term landlord can provide a flexible structure to accommodate. W. P. Carey’s sale-leaseback business has the capital to fund future tenant expansions, build-to-suits, building renovations, energy retrofits and more after the initial deal has been completed.
MIPIM 2025: Is the European Real Estate Market on the Rise?
The annual real estate gathering in Cannes, MIPIM 2025, is set to kick off next week. As in previous years, more than 20,000 delegates will gather to discuss both the opportunities and challenges facing the European real estate industry. While concerns about the market remain—including geopolitical tensions, inflation and future monetary policy decisions—investors have entered the year with a sense of cautious optimism. As real estate professionals gear up for an insightful conference, here are the key questions they will be looking to address. Will the European deal environment improve in 2025? 2024 was a year of transition for the real estate industry, with inflation gradually aligning with target levels and interest rates reaching their peak. In the latter half of the year, central banks began to lower interest rates, albeit slower—and in smaller increments—than some expected. Despite analysts projecting only modest European economic growth in 2025, the real estate investment market stands poised for a gradual recovery. Market participants have largely come to the realization that rates will remain higher for longer, bringing some stability to transaction markets. This has further narrowed the bid-ask spread as buyers and sellers align on pricing. Furthermore, lower cost of capital will be accretive to returns for some investors and support increased investment volumes. As a result, we expect more robust investment activity in 2025. What’s the outlook for the European sale-leaseback market? Even with interest rates declining, sale-leasebacks will continue to be an attractive solution for companies looking to boost cash flow. First and foremost, a sale-leaseback frees up capital tied up in illiquid real estate, allowing for greater financial resilience and flexibility without disrupting operations. Companies that pursue a sale-leaseback also benefit from predictable rental payments, making these deals a lower-risk alternative to volatile investments like the bond market. This combination of predictability and adaptability make sale-leasebacks a practical capital solution for companies with real estate assets. In addition, analysts expect the M&A market to rebound in 2025 as sponsor activity increases, regulatory and monetary dynamics normalize, and corporates continue to streamline and simplify their portfolios. When M&A activity increases, there is often an uptick in sale-leaseback opportunities, as private equity firms look to leverage sale-leaseback financing as part of the capital stack for new acquisitions or to support portfolio company growth. How will ESG reporting requirements impact the European real estate market? Sustainability is no longer “just a buzzword” in European real estate strategies. Investor demands, tenant preferences and regulatory requirements are driving companies to prioritize energy efficiency and carbon reduction. With the EU setting ambitious targets for carbon neutrality, businesses that own real estate must find ways to fund necessary upgrades. What some may not realize is that sale-leasebacks offer a great solution, allowing companies to unlock the value of owned real estate to finance energy efficiency upgrades, solar installations and other sustainability-driven improvements. This not only ensures compliance with evolving regulations but also helps reduce their carbon footprint—all while maintaining full operational control of their facility.