ICSC Las Vegas Preview

ICSC Las Vegas, one of the largest commercial real estate gatherings, will again convene the industry’s leading professionals and retailers next week. Over 30,000 attendees will gather for networking, deal-making and insights into how the retail real estate industry will fare amid a volatile and uncertain economic environment. Tariffs, shifts in consumer sentiment and sale-leaseback opportunities will be among the biggest topics discussed at the conference. Outlined below is an overview of each.

Tariffs add pressure and uncertainty for retailers

Uncertainty surrounding tariffs is expected to have a substantial impact on the retail real estate industry. The National Retail Federation announced it expects the growth of U.S. retail sales to slow down this year due to consumer anxiety and inflation, with an outsized impact on smaller retailers and certain industries including textiles and electronics. While the long-term impact of tariff policies is unclear, retailers ultimately will have to determine how much of the additional costs they can absorb versus passing on to consumers. These decisions could have significant impacts on retailers’ balance sheets and ability to remain operational, affecting overall investment in the sector.

Consumer sentiment shifts will impact investor demand

Shifting consumer preferences continue to present both opportunities and challenges for retailers. Uncertainty surrounding the future of the economy has made consumers more budget conscious and focused on necessities. According to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, essential goods account for 65% of consumer spending. As a result, retailers will likely continue to show interest in grocery-anchored shopping centers, which continue to remain among the best-performing retail property types.

E-commerce also continues to redefine retail. As more consumers shift their spending online, retailers like Macy’s are consolidating locations and shrinking their footprints. For investors seeking stability, this means targeting markets with strong population and job growth—where retail assets are most likely to perform well over the long term.

Sale-leasebacks remain a viable financing option

Despite economic uncertainty, the retail sale-leaseback market continues to grow—thanks to its clear advantages over traditional debt. By unlocking the full market value of their real estate, retailers can reinvest proceeds into their core business and drive stronger returns. Sale-leasebacks also provide long-term capital with no refinancing risk and typically without the restrictive debt covenants or balloon payments that come with conventional financing. In today’s climate, where liquidity and balance sheet flexibility are paramount, that kind of stability is more valuable than ever.