Retail Revitalization: Key Takeaways from ICSC Las Vegas
Three major themes emerging from retail's biggest conference
After a two-year hiatus, ICSC Las Vegas – one of the largest conventions for the retail industry – made its big comeback with over 22,000 attendees getting together to discuss the opportunities and trends in the sector. Retailers, brokers and real estate investors were among the exhibitors on the conference floor, where a number of topics dominated the discussion. Rising rates and inflation, the retail recovery and resurgence of brick-and-mortar were among the biggest themes at the conference. Here’s an overview of each:
Financing amid rising interest rates and inflation
Inflation continues to rise at its fastest pace in 40 years, with the consumer price index reaching 8.6% for the 12 months ending in May. Interest rates have also been surging, with the Fed raising benchmark rates in its most aggressive hike since 1994. This challenging and volatile economic environment has made it difficult for retailers to secure traditional debt financing at attractive rates.
However, one method of financing that has been gaining traction in the retail sector is the sale-leaseback – where a company sells its real estate to an investor for cash and simultaneously enters into a long-term lease. Big names such as 7-Eleven, Sherwin Williams and Mister Car Wash have made sale-leasebacks a core part of their growth strategies due to the ability to quickly unlock otherwise illiquid capital and reinvest those proceeds into their business. Retailers can also lock in a long-term rental rate which is especially advantageous in the current economic landscape while not having to worry about short-term refinancing or restrictive debt covenants.
Retail revival
Despite the challenging market environment, there was a lot of optimism for the retail sector at ICSC Las Vegas. Virtually all retail property types from grocery to c-stores experienced an increase in leasing activity over the past year – with retail tenants absorbing 91 million square feet of space nationally over the past 12 months. Furthermore, the retail sector is now seeing the lowest levels of bankruptcy filings in the past five years in addition to a steady uptick in foot traffic in physical stores. This is indicative of a larger retail recovery, leaving the sector in its best position since the pandemic began.
Resurgence of brick-and-mortar
Perhaps the biggest topic of discussion at the conference was the resurgence of brick-and-mortar retail. While many had predicted that e-commerce would be the way of the future, consumers have proved them wrong by returning to physical stores en masse. In 2021, retail sales totaled $5 trillion – with only about 13% of that stemming from e-commerce. Online shopping actually decreased year-over-year, demonstrating that consumers were eager to return to physical stores as the pandemic subsided. This increased demand also spurred many existing retailers to expand their store footprints and some online-only retailers to open physical stores.
However, not all segments within retail are created equal, with some property types like movie theaters continuing to struggle while others like restaurants have thrived. Regardless, retailers have continued to adapt to meet the evolving demands of consumers, with omnichannel – a combination of e-commerce and brick-and-mortar – emerging as the prevailing strategy for success.
Conclusion
Despite a challenging few years for the retail sector, fundamentals continue to improve in 2022 as demand for high-quality retail assets returns and retailers look to cash in on owned real estate to improve balance sheet health and fund future growth. Interest rates, inflation and a rumored recession lingered in the air at this year's ICSC Las Vegas, but attendees were confident that the retail revival is underway.
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Three Strategic Uses of Sale-leaseback Capital for CFOs
There are several reasons businesses of all sizes may choose to monetize their owned real estate through a sale-leaseback. A sale-leaseback is an effective financing tool to unlock seemingly illiquid capital that can be reinvested into a company’s core business to fund both internal and external growth. It can be a particularly useful tool when traditional debt financing is difficult to secure or available at less attractive terms. Another key benefit is that the proceeds from a sale-leaseback can be used for essentially anything – from improving a company’s cost of capital to paying off debt. This flexibility enables CFOs to allocate sale-leaseback proceeds to the areas where their business needs it most at any given time. In today’s economic environment, CFOs can strategically leverage sale-leaseback capital to address several of the biggest concerns – and opportunities – that businesses are currently facing, including M&A, inflation and capital raising. Here’s how: Finance M&A In an M&A market that remains highly competitive, sale-leasebacks can be a useful tool to give companies an edge against their peers. Sale-leasebacks are an attractive means to finance M&A by enabling companies to take advantage of the value arbitrage between their real estate valuation and EBITDA multiple. When completing a sale-leaseback concurrently with an acquisition, the proceeds can effectively “buy down” the acquisition multiple and boost returns. In addition, leveraging sale-leaseback capital enables companies to avoid many traditional debt challenges like refinancing risk and balloon payments. By pursuing a sale-leaseback now, companies can also lock in an attractive rental rate for the long-term while cap rates remain low and before interest rates rise significantly. Counteract Inflation Inflation continues to surge at its fastest pace in 40 years. In April, the Consumer Price Index continued its upward trajectory, increasing 8.3% from one year ago. While the Fed has made some efforts to fight inflation, there is still a lot to be done to get prices down to more normal and stable levels. This is bad news for businesses, who are dealing with dwindling cash flows as costs continue to rise for raw materials, manufacturing and overhead. However, savvy CFOs can leverage sale-leaseback capital to help fund initiatives to mitigate the negative impacts of sustained high inflation. Sale-leaseback capital can be invested into automation equipment, new production lines or other areas with return on capital in excess of cap rates to increase production line efficiency and maintain operating margins despite increased pressure on costs. Unlock Illiquid Capital to Fund Internal Business Growth In today’s more volatile environment, having access to capital is critical to not only expanding externally through M&A, but also to investing in existing business lines. By pursuing a sale-leaseback, CFOs can unlock liquidity on a business’s balance sheet and reinvest those proceeds back into the core business, all while maintaining long-term occupancy and operational control of the real estate. Companies can launch new products, acquire additional equipment, fund R&D and grow their market share in existing business lines. This organic growth can in turn help attract top talent, particularly in the current tight labor market.
Five Benefits of Sale-leasebacks Over Traditional Debt Financing
In today’s environment, having access to capital is crucial in order to maintain ongoing operations and invest in growth. However, traditional debt financing is becoming less attractive for companies in light of refinancing risks and the potential for balloon payments. As a result, some CFOs are investigating alternative sources of capital. For companies that own real estate, one method worth exploring is the sale-leaseback – where a company sells its real estate to an investor for cash and simultaneously enters into a long-term lease. For companies considering a sale-leaseback, here are five key benefits of this alternative capital solution: 1. Convert an illiquid asset into working capital The primary benefit of a sale-leaseback is the ability to immediately convert an illiquid asset into liquid capital to meet both short- and long-term needs, such as paying off debt, purchasing new equipment or investing in growth initiatives. From an accounting perspective, sale-leasebacks can also help boost a company’s balance sheet by putting them in a better cash position and improving their debt-to-equity ratio, enabling them to secure more attractive debt financing in the future should they need it. 2. Unlock 100% of the property's value Sale-leasebacks enable companies to extract 100% fair market value for their real estate, compared to about 80% or less for a mortgage loan. With real estate valuations on the rise, sale-leasebacks will likely yield more cash than traditional financing, enabling corporate sellers to maximize proceeds and invest more capital back into their business. 3. Benefit from long-term financing With traditional debt, companies typically have to refinance after three, five or ten years which can create interest rate and risk exposure to future economic downturns. Through sale-leasebacks, sellers sign a long-term lease – often 20 to 30 years – and lock in an attractive long-term rental rate that creates security and predictability for a company. The ability to lock in an attractive long-term rental rate today is especially advantageous in a volatile interest rate environment. 4. Maintain operational control and flexibility Compared to other types of financing, sale-leasebacks offer sellers more control over the structure and terms of the deal. Sale-leaseback financing typically does not include restrictive debt covenants or balloon payments and can include flexibility for future growth, such as capital for an expansion. When structured as a triple-net lease, the seller maintains full operational control of the property, avoiding disruption to the day-to-day operation of the business. 5. Gain a long-term capital partner One of the most overlooked benefits of a sale-leaseback is the potential to gain a long-term partner with the capital to support future real estate needs including, expansions, build-to-suits of new commercial properties, renovations, green energy installations and more. Long-term real estate investors like W. P. Carey are committed to owning the property for the duration of the lease and beyond, and are willing to invest capital into the building well after the lease is signed to ensure the property is meeting the tenant’s long-term needs.