Retail
Sale-leasebacks Are Back!
The sale-leaseback market is booming. Strong fundamentals including low interest rates, outsized demand for high-quality assets, an active M&A market and significant amounts of capital driven by cheap debt and strong currency make now an opportune time for sellers to execute a sale-leaseback and unlock otherwise illiquid capital tied up in their real estate. According to data from SLB Capital Advisors, sale-leaseback activity increased 17% in Q2 from the previous quarter, reaching $3.6 billion–the second highest in terms of deal volume since before the pandemic in Q4 2019. With interest rates unlikely to rise in the short term and property valuations being pushed higher as new investors enter the sale-leaseback market, we expect this high level of activity to continue into 2022. However, within the broader sale-leaseback market, each core property type–industrial, office and retail–faces unique headwinds and tailwinds, presenting new challenges and opportunities across each. Here’s how we think each will fare in 2022. The Industrial Surge The industrial real estate market continues to be one of the strongest sectors fueled by tailwinds related to the growth of e-commerce, including increased inventory requirements and record-low vacancy rates. These strong fundamentals mean that investor demand for industrial sale-leasebacks will only increase, particularly as new entrants enter the market. We are already seeing the effects of this–but as more entrants enter, the imbalance between the product available and demand for assets will continue to widen, driving prices higher and cap rates lower–even in traditionally non-core industrial markets. In addition, a lag in new development due to increased material and labor costs will keep real estate valuations for existing assets high. As a result, we don’t see the industrial market slowing any time soon–creating immense opportunity for sellers to maximize the value of their real estate through a sale-leaseback. Growing Office Optimism While office has certainly been a dark horse in the real estate market due to lockdowns and work-from-home mandates, there’s some optimism on the horizon going into 2022. Several big tech companies such as Google, Facebook and Amazon, have made investments in NYC office space this year, sparking early signs of recovery in the sector. In addition, Sun Belt markets such as Texas and Florida–where many urbanites migrated during the pandemic–are seeing an increase in demand for offices supported predominantly by the small and mid-size businesses located in those regions. For potential sellers, these are all positive signs and suggest that investor demand for certain office assets will rise in 2022, particularly for high-quality properties in strong markets leased to investment-grade tenants. Retail's Road to Recovery Similar to the office market, retail is seeing a recovery from COVID-19 pandemic lows. Retail foot traffic and sales continue to increase, but the rise of e-commerce has certainly left a lasting impact on the industry as a whole, as most retailers are now implementing hybrid store models which include both brick-and-mortar stores and online distribution. In the next few years, many retailers will likely reevaluate their portfolios in terms of number of stores, location and use–and many may downsize as online orders become a greater proportion of their sales. As a result, the overall level of occupied retail space will likely shrink, meaning the market will favor corporate sellers and tenants. In addition, we expect investor demand for essential retail such as grocery and quick-service-restaurants will remain strong in 2022, as those sectors have demonstrated exceptional resiliency during the pandemic and resulting economic downturn. We’ll likely also see an increase in volume of retail sale-leasebacks in Europe, particularly for those essential assets, as US-based investors expand into new markets to take advantage of different costs of capital. What's Next Overall, the outlook for sale-leasebacks remains positive across all three core property types, with 2021 shaping up to potentially be a record year for deal volume. As long as the market fundamentals remain strong, corporate sellers pursuing a sale-leaseback will be able to secure high valuations for their real estate assets while locking in current low rates for the long term. Working with an experienced sale-leaseback investor such as W. P. Carey ensures sellers unlock 100% fair market value of their assets–which can be reinvested into growth initiatives–and also provides a long-term capital partner that can support future real estate needs.
Why Food Retailers Should Consider Sale-leasebacks to Support Growth Strategies
As many retailers nationwide are forced to close down and reduce property footprints due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, one particular sector is looking to grow – food retail. Driven by changing consumer habits such as eating more at home and the desire to “stock up” on groceries, food retail has seen growing demand in recent months. In fact, a recent survey showed that consumers are spending 37 percent more per grocery trip than they did before the pandemic. In addition, while in-store shopping trips have declined, digital sales continue to boom – with US online grocery sales hitting a record $7.2 billion in June, up 9 percent from May’s $6.6 billion. Despite many food retailers being spared from the financial repercussions of the pandemic, the swift shift towards online shopping has driven savvy retailers to bolster their omnichannel shopping strategies and capitalize on the newfound demand for online delivery. To implement these changes and adapt to growing demand, food retailers will need growth capital for critical projects like investing in their online-ordering capabilities and/or expanding their distribution centers to keep up with online orders. One of the simplest and most effective ways retailers can secure this capital is by leveraging their existing real estate assets and pursuing a sale-leaseback transaction. In a sale-leaseback – or “sale and leaseback” – a company sells its real estate to an investor for cash and simultaneously enters into a long-term lease. In doing so, the company extracts 100 percent of the property’s value and converts otherwise illiquid assets into working capital to grow its business, while also maintaining full operational control of its facilities. One major benefit of a sale-leaseback is that it is generally a long-term commitment, meaning companies can realize high prices for their assets in the current low-yield environment and also lock in low rent for years to come. In addition, companies can gain a long-term capital partner that can fund future expansions and development of new facilities. Because of these benefits, it’s not surprising that several savvy food retailers have already pursued sale-leasebacks as part of their growth strategies on a stand-alone basis or in conjunction with private equity firms and other investors. W. P. Carey is one of the largest diversified net lease real estate investors, with a portfolio comprising over 1,200 properties across both the US and Europe. W. P. Carey has nearly 50 years of experience partnering with creditworthy companies on sale-leasebacks ranging from $5 million - $500 million to help unlock otherwise unused capital tied up in their critical real estate. As consumer habits continue to change due to the pandemic – likely for the long haul – there’s never been a better time for food retailers to undertake a sale-leaseback. Those that do will be able to secure the growth capital they need to expand and meet growing consumer demand and expectations – putting them ahead of the curve and onto the path of long-term success.