Sale-leaseback Activity Expected to Grow as Capital Conditions Improve in 2026
Lower long-term rates and easing macroeconomic uncertainty signal a more active year ahead
After a slow start, sale-leaseback activity saw a resurgence in the second half of 2025. Early in the year, activity was dampened by uncertain fundamentals and macroeconomic headwinds, but momentum returned as market conditions stabilized.
“It was a year of growth, particularly for industrial middle-market sale-leasebacks, which are a large part of W. P. Carey’s business,” says Tyler Swann, managing director, investments, at W. P. Carey.
With interest rates stabilizing and companies continuing to explore innovative ways to raise capital, sale-leaseback activity is expected to remain strong in the new year.
Falling Rates Support a Strong Outlook
For many businesses, changing capital conditions play a major role in decision-making. Swann notes that long-term rates, which directly impact sale-leaseback pricing, have been trending downward. He explains that the 10-year US Treasury rate started the year in the mid to high fours, before settling around 4%, improving the cost of capital and creating stronger incentives for companies to act.
“Lower cost of debt and equity enabled us to offer lower cap rates to potential tenants,” says Swann. He adds that when interest rates decline, companies often feel more comfortable making longer-term capital commitments, including sale-leasebacks with 10-, 15- or 20-year terms.
Improved Trade Clarity Continues to Strengthen Activity
Uncertainty around trade policy has created pockets of hesitation among many companies as they weigh their decisions. “Some people didn’t want to make long-term commitments to facilities, not knowing exactly what the trade policy was going to look like,” says Swann. “However, the threat of tariffs has begun to temper and, as a result, activity is getting stronger.”
He notes that trade uncertainty has also pushed some companies to double down on their commitments to domestic supply chains. Swann adds that industrial vacancy remains low in many markets and rental rates have generally held steady or increased, reinforcing investors’ appetite to acquire these types of assets through sale-leasebacks.
Improving Capital Conditions Create a Tailwind for 2026
With long-term rates stabilizing or slightly declining over the past year, Swann expects these shifts to remain a positive influence on sale-leasebacks. “I anticipate this stability to be a tailwind for investment activity for the same reason it was in 2025,” he says.
He also points to merger and acquisition activity as another area to watch. Swann believes a pickup in private equity transactions could further boost sale-leaseback volume in the coming year. As interest rates continue to inch lower, he notes that activity may resemble more active periods of previous cycles, setting the stage for a strong 2026.
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Sale-leasebacks Gain Momentum as Global M&A Values Grow
Private equity sponsors are rethinking how they access capital as the M&A market heats up. Global M&A values have climbed to $1.89 trillion in the first half of 2025, meanwhile fluctuating interest rates and tighter financing make traditional methods of raising capital less appealing. “The tighter rate environment is a moving target, particularly with the recent rate cut,” says Jason Patterson, executive director of investments at W. P. Carey. “As a general rule of thumb, alternative sources of capital, such as sale-leasebacks, are attractive right now, especially if you’re having trouble securing debt in a more structured transaction.” As firms look to move forward in the current market, many are finding strategic opportunities with sale-leasebacks to tap into capital, both before and after M&A deal closings. Capturing Flexibility Pre- and Post-Acquisition For private equity firms, a sale-leaseback offers flexibility throughout the merger and acquisition process. In the pre-acquisition phase, this strategy helps reduce equity requirements. “This can lower the equity needed to close, which is especially attractive at the start of an M&A deal,” says Patterson. On the post-acquisition side, Patterson notes that a large amount of capital often remains tied up in real estate, and that sale-leaseback proceeds can support new acquisitions, or fund reinvestment in the buildings themselves. Because of this flexibility, Patterson is seeing more sponsors incorporate sale-leasebacks into their regular strategies. Securing Certainty and Speed Patterson stresses that execution speed and reliability are critical when incorporating sale-leasebacks into a strategic playbook. “Having someone you can be certain is going to provide the capital necessary to close that acquisition on time is of the utmost importance,” says Patterson. As an example, he points to a transaction in which W. P. Carey funded more than $400 million at closing for a large pharmaceutical manufacturer. “It took a lot of coordination and trust among the parties,” says Patterson. “But having that certainty was extraordinarily valuable to the sponsor because they didn’t have to call their own capital or raise additional debt to fund the transaction.” Patterson also explains that groups sometimes lack sufficient information about the real estate transaction to even consider a sale-leaseback until they are near closing, which is why having a partner who can move quickly and reliably is important. Putting Proceeds to Work Once a sale-leaseback is completed, the proceeds can be deployed in a variety of ways. Patterson notes that some groups use the capital to grow the business or expand production. In other cases, proceeds might go toward paying down debt when the cost of funds under a sale-leaseback is more attractive than traditional financing. Patterson believes this flexibility could drive wider use of the strategy in future M&A transactions. “Many groups don’t always appreciate [that] they’re literally sitting on some of the most valuable sources of capital they have in the real estate they own,” says Patterson. “And as more become familiar with using sale-leasebacks as a strategy, I think it’s possible that it could increasingly be used in the M&A process.”
Sale-leasebacks Gain Ground as Flexible Capital Solution
With corporate debt maturing and capital market and tariff uncertainty persisting, more companies are turning to sale-leasebacks to access capital quickly, without sacrificing control of their key real estate. “Sale-leasebacks are a unique option to provide liquidity, especially when traditional lending becomes less accessible and more expensive,” says Zachary Pasanen, managing director, investments, W. P. Carey. “Interest rates are still elevated, so companies that own their real estate are leaning into sale-leasebacks to pay off expensive debt and shore up their financial position.” As a result, this long-standing strategy is seeing increased interest as operators across industries navigate rising debt costs, looming maturities and a cautious lending environment. Meeting liquidity needs quickly In a typical sale-leaseback, a company sells a property it owns and simultaneously leases it back from the buyer. This frees up capital previously tied up in real estate while allowing the company to keep operating in the same location. “W. P. Carey is unique in that we don’t use asset-level financing,” says Pasanen. “We’re an all-equity buyer with access to multiple forms of capital, which allows us to close quickly on deals that meet our investment criteria.” He points to a recent nine-figure deal that closed just 22 days after signing the letter of intent, highlighting the advantage of working with a buyer that has decades of broad experience and ready access to capital. For companies looking beyond traditional debt financing, sale-leasebacks are a great option, particularly when you can find a buyer that offers speed and certainty of execution. “It allows the company to focus on their core competency, whether that’s a product or service, rather than tying up capital in real estate,” says Pasanen. What to consider before moving forward For companies exploring this strategy for the first time, Pasanen has a few words of advice, starting with the accounting implications. “Talk to your accounting department beforehand to make sure you understand how the lease will be treated on the books,” says Pasanen. From there, he says it’s about evaluating all your options. Many companies are surprised to learn that even secondary or tertiary locations can appeal to the right buyer. “We’re location agnostic,” says Pasanen. “As long as we’re acquiring mission-critical real estate with a long-term commitment from a company, we’re willing to consider a deal, irrespective of location.” Looking ahead, companies are likely to encounter escalating expenses and more restrictive lending environments, positioning sale-leasebacks as an effective means to swiftly generate capital and align with long-term strategic goals. “With the access to capital that we have,” says Pasanen, “we really view ourselves as a leading provider of sale-leaseback financing, delivering the type of solutions operators need in order to fund their next phase of growth.”
From Volatility to Resilience: Net Lease Real Estate in 2025
2025 marked a turning point for the net lease real estate market, driven by three defining trends: interest rate relief, cap rate stabilization and an increased focus on mission-critical assets. Together, these forces shaped real estate investor strategies and helped restore confidence in the market. Here’s an overview of each: Interest Rate Relief Sparked Market Activity The Federal Reserve’s late-2024 rate cuts reignited momentum across the market. Lower borrowing costs helped narrow the bid-ask spread, unlocking deal flow that had stalled during the Fed’s tightening cycle. Transaction volumes rebounded as investors who had been sidelined re-entered the market, eager to capitalize on improved financing conditions. For the year ending in Q3 2025, net lease investment volume increased by 24% to $48.1 billion from the same period a year ago. This shift underscored how quickly sentiment can turn when capital becomes more accessible. Cap Rates Found Their Balance After two years of steady increases, cap rates showed signs of stabilization, with Q2 and Q3 data indicating only marginal movements. This plateau suggests the market is entering a more predictable phase – due to factors such as declining Treasury yields, steady inventory and consistent demand – and creates opportunities for disciplined investors to lock in attractive yields. High-credit tenants continued to command premium pricing, underscoring the importance of credit quality in underwriting decisions. Mission-Critical Assets Took Center Stage Another notable trend in 2025 was the surge in demand for mission-critical properties. While these assets have long been foundational to the net lease market, investor interest increased as buyers prioritized operationally essential facilities with high tenant stickiness and limited relocation risk. As a result, investors gravitated toward property types such as specialized manufacturing, data centers and healthcare facilities. These types of mission-critical properties typically offer long-term stability and predictable cash flows given the tenant is likely to operate out of them for the long term, making them attractive in a volatile environment. Looking Ahead 2025 represented a much needed rebound for the net lease market. Interest rate cuts and cap rate stabilization restored confidence, reignited deal flow and brought investors back into play. While macroeconomic headwinds haven’t disappeared, the sector enters 2026 on solid footing and poised for continued growth.