Thought Leadership | Oct 14, 2025

Investor Confidence Returns

Three Key Takeaways from EXPO Real 2025

This year’s EXPO Real in Munich brought together real estate professionals from over 70 countries, eager to assess the market’s trajectory as we head into 2026. After a turbulent stretch marked by volatile interest rates and macroeconomic headwinds, signs of stabilization have surfaced, bringing optimism to the market. Amid this backdrop, three standout themes emerged:

Investment Activity Stabilizing

After several years of volatility, investment activity is finally stabilizing. According to Savills, European real estate investment volumes reached €130 billion for Q1-Q3 2025, a 1.5% year-over-year increase. This activity is being driven primarily by improving cap-rate spreads, a narrowing price gap between buyers and sellers and a steadier Eurozone backdrop. With a growing number of sizeable assets and portfolios hitting the market – and investor appetite rebounding – we anticipate an uptick in deal volume as we finish out the year and enter 2026.

New Sectors Gaining Steam

As Europe’s real estate market steadies amid rate cuts, investors are turning toward new growth sectors. At the forefront are data centers, which have surged in popularity due to the exponential rise of AI and cloud services. New energy infrastructure – including real estate tied to renewables and grid modernization – is also attracting capital, driven by the continent’s aggressive decarbonization goals. Meanwhile, student housing is experiencing a renaissance, buoyed by demographic shifts and urban migration patterns. These sectors not only offer strong fundamentals but also align with broader trends shaping the future.

Private Equity Embracing Sale-Leasebacks

Private equity firms are continuing to turn to sale-leasebacks as a strategic lever to unlock liquidity. By selling real estate assets owned by portfolio companies and leasing them back, PE sponsors can convert illiquid real estate into cash – fueling acquisitions, funding growth initiatives or deleveraging balance sheets. This approach is particularly effective in post-acquisition scenarios, where rapid access to capital is essential but traditional financing may be costly or restrictive. Sale-leasebacks also offer flexibility in structuring, allowing firms to tailor lease terms to match cash flow realities while avoiding equity dilution or covenant-heavy debt.  

Photo of people in Expo hall
Photo of Christopher Merlitz
Christopher A. Mertlitz
Managing Director
Head of European Investments
View bio

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